Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 13°C as Moscow's highest temperature on April 14, directly reflecting the official NOAA-recorded maximum of 13°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source. This outcome aligns with mid-April climatological norms for the region, where average highs hover around 11°C amid transitional spring conditions featuring variable cloud cover, light precipitation, and southerly flows bringing mild air masses. Pre-event forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF models had converged on 10–13°C peaks despite anticipated rain, validating trader positioning with real-time observational data from standardized airport sensors. Realistic challenges would require a rare data correction for sensor malfunction or quality control revision, though NOAA's rigorous protocols make this improbable post-verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on April 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 14?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$124,346 Vol.
$124,346 Vol.
2026/04/14
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$124,346 Vol.
$124,346 Vol.
2026/04/14
6°C or below
$3,601 Vol.
No
7°C
$5,877 Vol.
No
8°C
$6,143 Vol.
No
9°C
$7,453 Vol.
No
10°C
$18,202 Vol.
No
11°C
$10,212 Vol.
No
12°C
$12,751 Vol.
No
13°C
$26,451 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$21,487 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,376 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$6,792 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 13°C as Moscow's highest temperature on April 14, directly reflecting the official NOAA-recorded maximum of 13°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source. This outcome aligns with mid-April climatological norms for the region, where average highs hover around 11°C amid transitional spring conditions featuring variable cloud cover, light precipitation, and southerly flows bringing mild air masses. Pre-event forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF models had converged on 10–13°C peaks despite anticipated rain, validating trader positioning with real-time observational data from standardized airport sensors. Realistic challenges would require a rare data correction for sensor malfunction or quality control revision, though NOAA's rigorous protocols make this improbable post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
音量
$124,346終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 13°C as Moscow's highest temperature on April 14, directly reflecting the official NOAA-recorded maximum of 13°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source. This outcome aligns with mid-April climatological norms for the region, where average highs hover around 11°C amid transitional spring conditions featuring variable cloud cover, light precipitation, and southerly flows bringing mild air masses. Pre-event forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF models had converged on 10–13°C peaks despite anticipated rain, validating trader positioning with real-time observational data from standardized airport sensors. Realistic challenges would require a rare data correction for sensor malfunction or quality control revision, though NOAA's rigorous protocols make this improbable post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$124,346終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 13°C as Moscow's highest temperature on April 14, directly reflecting the official NOAA-recorded maximum of 13°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source. This outcome aligns with mid-April climatological norms for the region, where average highs hover around 11°C amid transitional spring conditions featuring variable cloud cover, light precipitation, and southerly flows bringing mild air masses. Pre-event forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF models had converged on 10–13°C peaks despite anticipated rain, validating trader positioning with real-time observational data from standardized airport sensors. Realistic challenges would require a rare data correction for sensor malfunction or quality control revision, though NOAA's rigorous protocols make this improbable post-verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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