BMKG's latest district forecasts for April 18 place maximum air temperatures at 30-31°C across DKI Jakarta amid partly cloudy skies and isolated light rain, yet traders overwhelmingly back 34°C (98.2% implied probability) based on early-day observations nearing that threshold under initial clear conditions and pronounced urban heat island effects. Jakarta's dense concrete infrastructure routinely elevates station readings—such as at Halim Perdanakusuma—2-3°C above model guidance during April's dry season transition, consistent with historical highs averaging 32°C but peaking at 34°C. Realistic challenges include afternoon showers triggering evaporative cooling or cooler peripheral station data defining the official max below 34°C; final BMKG observations expected post-sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
34°C 98.2%
35°C 1.2%
36°C <1%
37°C or higher <1%
$75,597 Vol.
$75,597 Vol.
34°C
98%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 98.2%
35°C 1.2%
36°C <1%
37°C or higher <1%
$75,597 Vol.
$75,597 Vol.
34°C
98%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
BMKG's latest district forecasts for April 18 place maximum air temperatures at 30-31°C across DKI Jakarta amid partly cloudy skies and isolated light rain, yet traders overwhelmingly back 34°C (98.2% implied probability) based on early-day observations nearing that threshold under initial clear conditions and pronounced urban heat island effects. Jakarta's dense concrete infrastructure routinely elevates station readings—such as at Halim Perdanakusuma—2-3°C above model guidance during April's dry season transition, consistent with historical highs averaging 32°C but peaking at 34°C. Realistic challenges include afternoon showers triggering evaporative cooling or cooler peripheral station data defining the official max below 34°C; final BMKG observations expected post-sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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