The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued April 17, projects Mexico City's maximum temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—at 29–31°C today, driving the 99.7% implied probability for 26°C or higher as trader consensus aligns with this model guidance amid a stable high-pressure system and dry April climatology. Partly cloudy skies in the morning transitioning to warm afternoon conditions with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h (gusts to 40 km/h) favor peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time, consistent with historical April highs averaging 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening cloud cover from isolated showers in surrounding Estado de México or persistent gusts suppressing surface warming, though SMN assesses these risks low; hourly METAR observations from MMMX will provide confirmatory data through evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月18日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
4月18日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26°C以上 99.7%
25°C <1%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$20,408 Vol.
$20,408 Vol.
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C以上
100%
26°C以上 99.7%
25°C <1%
18℃ <1%
19℃ <1%
$20,408 Vol.
$20,408 Vol.
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C以上
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 1:53 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast, issued April 17, projects Mexico City's maximum temperature at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—at 29–31°C today, driving the 99.7% implied probability for 26°C or higher as trader consensus aligns with this model guidance amid a stable high-pressure system and dry April climatology. Partly cloudy skies in the morning transitioning to warm afternoon conditions with northerly winds of 10–20 km/h (gusts to 40 km/h) favor peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time, consistent with historical April highs averaging 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening cloud cover from isolated showers in surrounding Estado de México or persistent gusts suppressing surface warming, though SMN assesses these risks low; hourly METAR observations from MMMX will provide confirmatory data through evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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