PAGASA's latest extended forecast and real-time observations from the Science Garden station in Quezon City underpin the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila on April 18, 2026, as temperatures reached 32°C by mid-morning under a ridge of high pressure extending partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk (0-20%). Easterlies maintain light winds, fostering solar heating during the dry season's peak, where historical April highs average 33-35°C; AccuWeather models align with peaks near 35-36°C. Realistic challenges include sudden convective clouds or stronger cooling winds from forecast updates, with final resolution hinging on PAGASA's end-of-day synoptic readings amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$22,580 Vol.
$22,580 Vol.
2026/04/18
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$22,580 Vol.
$22,580 Vol.
2026/04/18
35°C
$2,347 Vol.
100%
36°C
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,137 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,948 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended forecast and real-time observations from the Science Garden station in Quezon City underpin the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila on April 18, 2026, as temperatures reached 32°C by mid-morning under a ridge of high pressure extending partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk (0-20%). Easterlies maintain light winds, fostering solar heating during the dry season's peak, where historical April highs average 33-35°C; AccuWeather models align with peaks near 35-36°C. Realistic challenges include sudden convective clouds or stronger cooling winds from forecast updates, with final resolution hinging on PAGASA's end-of-day synoptic readings amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
音量
$22,580終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended forecast and real-time observations from the Science Garden station in Quezon City underpin the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila on April 18, 2026, as temperatures reached 32°C by mid-morning under a ridge of high pressure extending partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk (0-20%). Easterlies maintain light winds, fostering solar heating during the dry season's peak, where historical April highs average 33-35°C; AccuWeather models align with peaks near 35-36°C. Realistic challenges include sudden convective clouds or stronger cooling winds from forecast updates, with final resolution hinging on PAGASA's end-of-day synoptic readings amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$22,580終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETPAGASA's latest extended forecast and real-time observations from the Science Garden station in Quezon City underpin the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for a 35°C high in Manila on April 18, 2026, as temperatures reached 32°C by mid-morning under a ridge of high pressure extending partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk (0-20%). Easterlies maintain light winds, fostering solar heating during the dry season's peak, where historical April highs average 33-35°C; AccuWeather models align with peaks near 35-36°C. Realistic challenges include sudden convective clouds or stronger cooling winds from forecast updates, with final resolution hinging on PAGASA's end-of-day synoptic readings amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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