Official meteorological observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 30°C around midday under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Hourly data shows a peak of 30°C at noon, easing to 29°C by evening, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting highs near 29–30°C amid persistent southerly flows and seasonal warming above April's typical 26°C average. Model ensembles from NOAA and CMA aligned closely, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible post-sunset, barring rare data revisions from station audits, as the daily record is now finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$37,900 Vol.
$37,900 Vol.
2026/04/18
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$37,900 Vol.
$37,900 Vol.
2026/04/18
30°C
$5,910 Vol.
100%
31°C
$3,705 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,118 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,437 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,796 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,299 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 30°C around midday under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Hourly data shows a peak of 30°C at noon, easing to 29°C by evening, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting highs near 29–30°C amid persistent southerly flows and seasonal warming above April's typical 26°C average. Model ensembles from NOAA and CMA aligned closely, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible post-sunset, barring rare data revisions from station audits, as the daily record is now finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ET
音量
$37,900終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 30°C around midday under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Hourly data shows a peak of 30°C at noon, easing to 29°C by evening, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting highs near 29–30°C amid persistent southerly flows and seasonal warming above April's typical 26°C average. Model ensembles from NOAA and CMA aligned closely, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible post-sunset, barring rare data revisions from station audits, as the daily record is now finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$37,900終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETOfficial meteorological observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 18 reached exactly 30°C around midday under partly sunny skies, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. Hourly data shows a peak of 30°C at noon, easing to 29°C by evening, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasting highs near 29–30°C amid persistent southerly flows and seasonal warming above April's typical 26°C average. Model ensembles from NOAA and CMA aligned closely, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible post-sunset, barring rare data revisions from station audits, as the daily record is now finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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