Israel's commanding 39% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner stems from its powerhouse fanbase, which delivered runner-up televote points in 2024 despite controversy, fueled by diaspora voting and viral appeal. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (16%) trail closely, leveraging Greece's consistent pop entries and Finland's lingering Käärijä "Cha Cha Cha" phenomenon from 2023's runner-up televote haul. Trader sentiment reflects historical patterns where charismatic acts dominate public votes over jury picks, with Sweden's low odds underscoring jury bias. Early markets remain speculative ahead of 2025 national selections and the post-Switzerland host reveal, as artist announcements could shift dynamics dramatically.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 39%
Greece 18%
Finland 16%
Sweden 5.2%
$569,956 Vol.
$569,956 Vol.

Israel
39%

Greece
18%

Finland
16%

Sweden
5%

France
5%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
2%

Switzerland
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Australia
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 39%
Greece 18%
Finland 16%
Sweden 5.2%
$569,956 Vol.
$569,956 Vol.

Israel
39%

Greece
18%

Finland
16%

Sweden
5%

France
5%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Denmark
2%

Switzerland
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Australia
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 39% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 Televote Winner stems from its powerhouse fanbase, which delivered runner-up televote points in 2024 despite controversy, fueled by diaspora voting and viral appeal. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (16%) trail closely, leveraging Greece's consistent pop entries and Finland's lingering Käärijä "Cha Cha Cha" phenomenon from 2023's runner-up televote haul. Trader sentiment reflects historical patterns where charismatic acts dominate public votes over jury picks, with Sweden's low odds underscoring jury bias. Early markets remain speculative ahead of 2025 national selections and the post-Switzerland host reveal, as artist announcements could shift dynamics dramatically.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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