Israel's frontrunner status at 33% implied probability stems from its powerhouse televote track record—securing runner-up in 2024 and top-five finishes recently—bolstered by expansive diaspora voting blocs across Europe. Greece trails at 22%, fueled by Balkan alliances and charismatic pop entries like those from past stars, while Finland's 16% reflects Nordic fan fervor post-Käärijä's 2023 televote surge. Lower contenders like Denmark and France hinge on national selection reveals, with Denmark's MGP and France's internal picks generating early buzz. In this pre-selection vacuum for 2026—hosted by the 2025 winner's nation—the wide field underscores uncertainty, as staging, song hooks, and geopolitical optics will pivot trader consensus toward the May 2026 televote crown.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 33%
Greece 22%
Finland 16%
France 6.8%
$487,498 Vol.
$487,498 Vol.

Israel
33%

Greece
22%

Finland
16%

France
7%

Denmark
7%

Italy
5%

Poland
4%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
2%

Germany
2%

Belgium
1%

Switzerland
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Czechia
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Estonia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Sweden
1%

Lithuania
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Norway
1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 33%
Greece 22%
Finland 16%
France 6.8%
$487,498 Vol.
$487,498 Vol.

Israel
33%

Greece
22%

Finland
16%

France
7%

Denmark
7%

Italy
5%

Poland
4%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
2%

Germany
2%

Belgium
1%

Switzerland
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Czechia
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Estonia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Sweden
1%

Lithuania
1%

Latvia
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Norway
1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's frontrunner status at 33% implied probability stems from its powerhouse televote track record—securing runner-up in 2024 and top-five finishes recently—bolstered by expansive diaspora voting blocs across Europe. Greece trails at 22%, fueled by Balkan alliances and charismatic pop entries like those from past stars, while Finland's 16% reflects Nordic fan fervor post-Käärijä's 2023 televote surge. Lower contenders like Denmark and France hinge on national selection reveals, with Denmark's MGP and France's internal picks generating early buzz. In this pre-selection vacuum for 2026—hosted by the 2025 winner's nation—the wide field underscores uncertainty, as staging, song hooks, and geopolitical optics will pivot trader consensus toward the May 2026 televote crown.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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