Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 36% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—unveiled March 5—which builds on Israel's recent televote dominance and earns early oddsmaker endorsements for public appeal amid multilingual hooks and emotional resonance. Greece's Akylas surges to 18.5% with "Ferto," a viral Spotify sensation post its February national final win, fueling cross-European buzz. Finland's Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen duo at 10.5% gains traction from their high-energy "Liekinheitin" UMK victory on February 28, radiating massive televote potential. As more national finals conclude ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14, these entries lead amid unpredictable jury-televote splits and streaming momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
France 8.1%
$4,287,106 Vol.
$4,287,106 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
3%

Italy
2%

Romania
2%

Switzerland
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Poland
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

San Marino
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
France 8.1%
$4,287,106 Vol.
$4,287,106 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

France
8%

Denmark
4%

Moldova
4%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
3%

Italy
2%

Romania
2%

Switzerland
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Poland
1%

Austria
1%

Luxembourg
1%

San Marino
1%

Australia
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Montenegro
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Norway
<1%

Armenia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 36% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—unveiled March 5—which builds on Israel's recent televote dominance and earns early oddsmaker endorsements for public appeal amid multilingual hooks and emotional resonance. Greece's Akylas surges to 18.5% with "Ferto," a viral Spotify sensation post its February national final win, fueling cross-European buzz. Finland's Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen duo at 10.5% gains traction from their high-energy "Liekinheitin" UMK victory on February 28, radiating massive televote potential. As more national finals conclude ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14, these entries lead amid unpredictable jury-televote splits and streaming momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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