Trader consensus crowns Israel as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by their massive 2024 televote second-place finish (323 points, behind only Croatia) and unwavering diaspora support that amplifies public votes even amid jury controversy. Greece trails at 18%, gaining from potent fanbases and dance-pop entries like 2024's "Zari" that sparked viral buzz, while Finland's 11.5% nods to enduring novelty appeal post-Käärijä's 2023 triumph and 2024's quirky Windows95man. Absent confirmed 2026 entries or host announcement, early markets hinge on historical televote patterns and perennial powerhouses, with national finals slated for late 2025–early 2026 as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 4.0%
$3,513,392 Vol.
$3,513,392 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
4%
Ukraine
4%
Moldova
4%
Denmark
4%
Sweden
4%
Bulgaria
2%
Italy
2%
Germany
1%
Cyprus
1%
Romania
1%
Switzerland
1%
Poland
1%
Malta
1%
Montenegro
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Croatia
1%
San Marino
1%
Australia
1%
Austria
1%
Belgium
1%
Estonia
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Albania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 4.0%
$3,513,392 Vol.
$3,513,392 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Israel
$5,449 Vol.
36%
Greece
$3,210 Vol.
18%
Finland
$4,095 Vol.
12%
France
$479,034 Vol.
4%
Ukraine
$4,117 Vol.
4%
Moldova
$232,935 Vol.
4%
Denmark
$232,850 Vol.
4%
Sweden
$1,871,816 Vol.
4%
Bulgaria
$2,394 Vol.
2%
Italy
$11,372 Vol.
2%
Germany
$36,761 Vol.
1%
Cyprus
$67,166 Vol.
1%
Romania
$4,046 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$11,706 Vol.
1%
Poland
$189,747 Vol.
1%
Malta
$16,750 Vol.
1%
Montenegro
$13,500 Vol.
1%
Luxembourg
$35,508 Vol.
1%
Croatia
$14,962 Vol.
1%
San Marino
$3,582 Vol.
1%
Australia
$24,636 Vol.
1%
Austria
$2,477 Vol.
1%
Belgium
$27,963 Vol.
1%
Estonia
$169,096 Vol.
1%
Azerbaijan
$15,566 Vol.
1%
United Kingdom
$2,365 Vol.
<1%
Czechia
$2,197 Vol.
<1%
Albania
$3,062 Vol.
<1%
Serbia
$2,659 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$3,534 Vol.
<1%
Latvia
$4,588 Vol.
<1%
Lithuania
$3,274 Vol.
<1%
Norway
$2,795 Vol.
<1%
Portugal
$4,053 Vol.
<1%
Armenia
$4,864 Vol.
<1%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Israel as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by their massive 2024 televote second-place finish (323 points, behind only Croatia) and unwavering diaspora support that amplifies public votes even amid jury controversy. Greece trails at 18%, gaining from potent fanbases and dance-pop entries like 2024's "Zari" that sparked viral buzz, while Finland's 11.5% nods to enduring novelty appeal post-Käärijä's 2023 triumph and 2024's quirky Windows95man. Absent confirmed 2026 entries or host announcement, early markets hinge on historical televote patterns and perennial powerhouses, with national finals slated for late 2025–early 2026 as key catalysts.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
音量
$3,513,392終了日
May 16, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Israel as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by their massive 2024 televote second-place finish (323 points, behind only Croatia) and unwavering diaspora support that amplifies public votes even amid jury controversy. Greece trails at 18%, gaining from potent fanbases and dance-pop entries like 2024's "Zari" that sparked viral buzz, while Finland's 11.5% nods to enduring novelty appeal post-Käärijä's 2023 triumph and 2024's quirky Windows95man. Absent confirmed 2026 entries or host announcement, early markets hinge on historical televote patterns and perennial powerhouses, with national finals slated for late 2025–early 2026 as key catalysts.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$3,513,392終了日
May 16, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus crowns Israel as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 36% implied probability, propelled by their massive 2024 televote second-place finish (323 points, behind only Croatia) and unwavering diaspora support that amplifies public votes even amid jury controversy. Greece trails at 18%, gaining from potent fanbases and dance-pop entries like 2024's "Zari" that sparked viral buzz, while Finland's 11.5% nods to enduring novelty appeal post-Käärijä's 2023 triumph and 2024's quirky Windows95man. Absent confirmed 2026 entries or host announcement, early markets hinge on historical televote patterns and perennial powerhouses, with national finals slated for late 2025–early 2026 as key catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問