Israel holds a commanding 35% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner on Polymarket, driven by its dominant public vote performance in 2024, where Eden Golan topped the televote despite geopolitical controversy and a fifth-place overall finish, showcasing resilient diaspora and fan bloc support. Greece at 18.5% benefits from Marina Satti's near-miss buzz last year, while Finland's 11.5% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 runner-up televote haul. With no songs or artists selected yet—national finals unlikely before early 2026—trader consensus hinges on historical voting patterns and cultural staying power. No major developments in the past 30 days; watch Eurovision 2025 results in May for host nation clues and early sentiment shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 35%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 5.8%
$2,692,249 Vol.
$2,692,249 Vol.

Israel
35%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
1%

Poland
1%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 35%
Greece 18%
Finland 11%
France 5.8%
$2,692,249 Vol.
$2,692,249 Vol.

Israel
35%

Greece
18%

Finland
11%

France
6%

Denmark
5%

Moldova
4%

Sweden
4%

Ukraine
3%

Germany
2%

Cyprus
2%

Italy
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
1%

Poland
1%

Switzerland
1%

Australia
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Malta
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel holds a commanding 35% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner on Polymarket, driven by its dominant public vote performance in 2024, where Eden Golan topped the televote despite geopolitical controversy and a fifth-place overall finish, showcasing resilient diaspora and fan bloc support. Greece at 18.5% benefits from Marina Satti's near-miss buzz last year, while Finland's 11.5% reflects lingering momentum from Käärijä's 2023 runner-up televote haul. With no songs or artists selected yet—national finals unlikely before early 2026—trader consensus hinges on historical voting patterns and cultural staying power. No major developments in the past 30 days; watch Eurovision 2025 results in May for host nation clues and early sentiment shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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