Israel's commanding 35% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 2024 public vote win, where Eden Golan amassed 323 points amid fierce fan mobilization and diaspora backing, outpacing even the overall champion Switzerland. Greece at 18% and Finland at 15% ride momentum from solid 2024 showings—Marina Satti's viral "Zari" for Greece and Windows95man's eccentric energy for Finland—fueling trader bets on repeatable pop appeal. France holds 8.6% on consistent jury-televote balance, while Moldova and Sweden lag despite past strengths. With 2025's Basel contest fresh, early odds reflect historical televote patterns over jury splits, though national selections starting soon could shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 35%
Greece 18%
Finland 15%
France 8.5%
$1,026,047 Vol.
$1,026,047 Vol.

Israel
35%

Greece
18%

Finland
15%

France
9%

Moldova
5%

Sweden
4%

Denmark
3%

Poland
2%

Ukraine
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Italy
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Lithuania
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 35%
Greece 18%
Finland 15%
France 8.5%
$1,026,047 Vol.
$1,026,047 Vol.

Israel
35%

Greece
18%

Finland
15%

France
9%

Moldova
5%

Sweden
4%

Denmark
3%

Poland
2%

Ukraine
2%

Germany
1%

Cyprus
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Italy
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Romania
1%

Belgium
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Lithuania
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Norway
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 35% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 2024 public vote win, where Eden Golan amassed 323 points amid fierce fan mobilization and diaspora backing, outpacing even the overall champion Switzerland. Greece at 18% and Finland at 15% ride momentum from solid 2024 showings—Marina Satti's viral "Zari" for Greece and Windows95man's eccentric energy for Finland—fueling trader bets on repeatable pop appeal. France holds 8.6% on consistent jury-televote balance, while Moldova and Sweden lag despite past strengths. With 2025's Basel contest fresh, early odds reflect historical televote patterns over jury splits, though national selections starting soon could shift sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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