Dalton Eatherly, the controversial IRL streamer known as Chud the Builder, remains in pre-trial proceedings on serious Tennessee felony charges including attempted murder stemming from the May 2026 courthouse shooting. Traders assign 62.5% implied probability to “No” conviction by the July 31, 2027 resolution date primarily because the case is still bound over to a grand jury with no trial scheduled, and Tennessee’s calendar for violent felonies routinely stretches 12–18 months or longer from arrest through motions, discovery, and verdict. Eatherly’s August 2026 release on $1 million bond under house arrest and GPS monitoring further signals standard procedural pacing rather than imminent resolution. While the public nature of the incident and extensive video evidence create a clear path to trial, the tight window before the market deadline favors delays over a swift conviction, keeping trader consensus tilted against a timely guilty verdict.