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icon for ChatGPT o3 released today?

ChatGPT o3 released today?

icon for ChatGPT o3 released today?

ChatGPT o3 released today?

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$19,016 Vol.

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$19,016 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$19,016
終了日
2025/04/16
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2025, 2:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$19,016
終了日
2025/04/16
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2025, 2:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ChatGPT o3 released today?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ChatGPT o3 released today?」は$19Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 16, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ChatGPT o3 released today?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「ChatGPT o3 released today?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「ChatGPT o3 released today?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。