With the March 31 deadline now passed on April 1 without a full ChatGPT outage—defined as complete unavailability to all users for at least one continuous hour—traders have reached near-unanimous consensus at 100% for "No," reflecting OpenAI's robust service reliability amid surging demand for its large language model. OpenAI's status page logged only elevated failures for select ChatGPT Enterprise and Education users joining via SSO on March 31, far short of a platform-wide disruption, consistent with prior quick resolutions like the February 2026 partial outage affecting thousands but restored within hours. This skin-in-the-game trader sentiment underscores improved infrastructure scaling, though rare black-swan events like cascading API failures or cyber incidents could theoretically prompt resolution disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$18,258 Vol.
$18,258 Vol.
2026/03/31
$18,258 Vol.
$18,258 Vol.
2026/03/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the March 31 deadline now passed on April 1 without a full ChatGPT outage—defined as complete unavailability to all users for at least one continuous hour—traders have reached near-unanimous consensus at 100% for "No," reflecting OpenAI's robust service reliability amid surging demand for its large language model. OpenAI's status page logged only elevated failures for select ChatGPT Enterprise and Education users joining via SSO on March 31, far short of a platform-wide disruption, consistent with prior quick resolutions like the February 2026 partial outage affecting thousands but restored within hours. This skin-in-the-game trader sentiment underscores improved infrastructure scaling, though rare black-swan events like cascading API failures or cyber incidents could theoretically prompt resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
音量
$18,258終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the March 31 deadline now passed on April 1 without a full ChatGPT outage—defined as complete unavailability to all users for at least one continuous hour—traders have reached near-unanimous consensus at 100% for "No," reflecting OpenAI's robust service reliability amid surging demand for its large language model. OpenAI's status page logged only elevated failures for select ChatGPT Enterprise and Education users joining via SSO on March 31, far short of a platform-wide disruption, consistent with prior quick resolutions like the February 2026 partial outage affecting thousands but restored within hours. This skin-in-the-game trader sentiment underscores improved infrastructure scaling, though rare black-swan events like cascading API failures or cyber incidents could theoretically prompt resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$18,258終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
With the March 31 deadline now passed on April 1 without a full ChatGPT outage—defined as complete unavailability to all users for at least one continuous hour—traders have reached near-unanimous consensus at 100% for "No," reflecting OpenAI's robust service reliability amid surging demand for its large language model. OpenAI's status page logged only elevated failures for select ChatGPT Enterprise and Education users joining via SSO on March 31, far short of a platform-wide disruption, consistent with prior quick resolutions like the February 2026 partial outage affecting thousands but restored within hours. This skin-in-the-game trader sentiment underscores improved infrastructure scaling, though rare black-swan events like cascading API failures or cyber incidents could theoretically prompt resolution disputes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問