OpenAI's ChatGPT maintains near-perfect operational reliability, with its status page confirming 99.91% uptime across components and no incidents in the past week as of early April 2026, driving the market-implied 93.5% probability for no full outage by April 10. Traders' strong conviction stems from recent stability following a minor disruption on March 19, bolstered by scaled infrastructure, redundant APIs, and proactive monitoring amid surging large language model demand. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with OpenAI's track record of swift resolutions. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cyberattacks, Microsoft Azure dependencies failing, or sudden capacity overload from unannounced updates, though proximity to resolution heightens scrutiny on any emerging warnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/04/10
新規
新規
2026/04/10
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT maintains near-perfect operational reliability, with its status page confirming 99.91% uptime across components and no incidents in the past week as of early April 2026, driving the market-implied 93.5% probability for no full outage by April 10. Traders' strong conviction stems from recent stability following a minor disruption on March 19, bolstered by scaled infrastructure, redundant APIs, and proactive monitoring amid surging large language model demand. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with OpenAI's track record of swift resolutions. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cyberattacks, Microsoft Azure dependencies failing, or sudden capacity overload from unannounced updates, though proximity to resolution heightens scrutiny on any emerging warnings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
音量
$705終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT maintains near-perfect operational reliability, with its status page confirming 99.91% uptime across components and no incidents in the past week as of early April 2026, driving the market-implied 93.5% probability for no full outage by April 10. Traders' strong conviction stems from recent stability following a minor disruption on March 19, bolstered by scaled infrastructure, redundant APIs, and proactive monitoring amid surging large language model demand. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with OpenAI's track record of swift resolutions. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cyberattacks, Microsoft Azure dependencies failing, or sudden capacity overload from unannounced updates, though proximity to resolution heightens scrutiny on any emerging warnings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$705終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT maintains near-perfect operational reliability, with its status page confirming 99.91% uptime across components and no incidents in the past week as of early April 2026, driving the market-implied 93.5% probability for no full outage by April 10. Traders' strong conviction stems from recent stability following a minor disruption on March 19, bolstered by scaled infrastructure, redundant APIs, and proactive monitoring amid surging large language model demand. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with OpenAI's track record of swift resolutions. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cyberattacks, Microsoft Azure dependencies failing, or sudden capacity overload from unannounced updates, though proximity to resolution heightens scrutiny on any emerging warnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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