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simpleman

参加しました 1月 2025·1.2K views

$161.7K

ポジション値

$22.4K

最大の勝利

1,441

予測

損益

$409.81
Polymarket

過去1日

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.6¢
70,000.0 株
$69,685.00-$35.00 (-0.05%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83.7¢
18,097.9 株
$15,473.74$332.51 (2.2%)
icon for Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

No 89.6¢
12,703.2 株
$11,578.92$199.90 (1.76%)
icon for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Yes 89.6¢
7,903.0 株
$7,626.41$544.74 (7.69%)
icon for US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 89.9¢
5,630.8 株
$5,360.54$296.85 (5.86%)
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.8¢
6,000.0 株
$5,121.01$213.01 (4.34%)
icon for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

No 69.8¢
5,276.2 株
$4,722.20$1,041.12 (28.28%)
icon for Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 90¢
5,000.0 株
$4,575.00$75.01 (1.67%)
icon for Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 90.6¢
4,627.2 株
$4,326.43$134.23 (3.2%)
icon for Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 83.5¢
4,923.4 株
$4,172.59$59.59 (1.45%)
icon for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 79.9¢
3,968.8 株
$3,452.87$281.92 (8.89%)
icon for Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 88.6¢
3,592.6 株
$3,430.90$247.65 (7.78%)
icon for Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

No 82.5¢
3,864.8 株
$3,246.43$58.05 (1.82%)
icon for Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 81.3¢
3,588.5 株
$3,157.87$240.65 (8.25%)
icon for Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 89.3¢
2,238.9 株
$2,115.74$115.74 (5.79%)
icon for Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 89.8¢
2,116.6 株
$2,070.04$170.04 (8.95%)
icon for Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 54¢
2,948.8 株
$1,754.52$160.99 (10.1%)
icon for US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 90¢
1,519.8 株
$1,451.39$84.26 (6.16%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 62.3¢
1,943.5 株
$1,195.23-$15.27 (-1.26%)
icon for Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 91.3¢
1,205.2 株
$1,138.93$38.93 (3.54%)