Trader consensus prices "No" at 78%, reflecting constitutional barriers under Article I, Section 4 granting states primary authority over federal elections, alongside legislative gridlock stalling the SAVE America Act voter ID bill in the Senate due to filibuster hurdles and Majority Leader John Thune prioritizing other issues. President Trump's March 31 executive order directing DHS to verify citizenship for voter lists and USPS to restrict mail-in ballots—aimed at election integrity ahead of 2026 midterms—faces lawsuits from 23 attorneys general and voting rights groups alleging overreach, but lacks new federal authority for direct control over state-localized vote counting, certification, or Election Day voting required for resolution. Bipartisan pushback, including from GOP figures like Rand Paul and Greg Abbott, underscores practical improbability by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump nazionalizzerà le elezioni?
Trump nazionalizzerà le elezioni?
Sì
$14,824 Vol.
$14,824 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$14,824 Vol.
$14,824 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 78%, reflecting constitutional barriers under Article I, Section 4 granting states primary authority over federal elections, alongside legislative gridlock stalling the SAVE America Act voter ID bill in the Senate due to filibuster hurdles and Majority Leader John Thune prioritizing other issues. President Trump's March 31 executive order directing DHS to verify citizenship for voter lists and USPS to restrict mail-in ballots—aimed at election integrity ahead of 2026 midterms—faces lawsuits from 23 attorneys general and voting rights groups alleging overreach, but lacks new federal authority for direct control over state-localized vote counting, certification, or Election Day voting required for resolution. Bipartisan pushback, including from GOP figures like Rand Paul and Greg Abbott, underscores practical improbability by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$14,824Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 78%, reflecting constitutional barriers under Article I, Section 4 granting states primary authority over federal elections, alongside legislative gridlock stalling the SAVE America Act voter ID bill in the Senate due to filibuster hurdles and Majority Leader John Thune prioritizing other issues. President Trump's March 31 executive order directing DHS to verify citizenship for voter lists and USPS to restrict mail-in ballots—aimed at election integrity ahead of 2026 midterms—faces lawsuits from 23 attorneys general and voting rights groups alleging overreach, but lacks new federal authority for direct control over state-localized vote counting, certification, or Election Day voting required for resolution. Bipartisan pushback, including from GOP figures like Rand Paul and Greg Abbott, underscores practical improbability by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$14,824Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 78%, reflecting constitutional barriers under Article I, Section 4 granting states primary authority over federal elections, alongside legislative gridlock stalling the SAVE America Act voter ID bill in the Senate due to filibuster hurdles and Majority Leader John Thune prioritizing other issues. President Trump's March 31 executive order directing DHS to verify citizenship for voter lists and USPS to restrict mail-in ballots—aimed at election integrity ahead of 2026 midterms—faces lawsuits from 23 attorneys general and voting rights groups alleging overreach, but lacks new federal authority for direct control over state-localized vote counting, certification, or Election Day voting required for resolution. Bipartisan pushback, including from GOP figures like Rand Paul and Greg Abbott, underscores practical improbability by year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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