Alberta separatists, led by Stay Free Alberta, announced on March 31, 2026, that their citizen initiative petition surpassed the 177,732-signature threshold required to trigger a provincial referendum question on independence, targeting the scheduled October 19, 2026, vote featuring nine ballot issues. This development, fueled by longstanding grievances over federal resource policies and emboldened by U.S. political rhetoric, has driven trader consensus to a 66.5% implied probability for Yes, reflecting optimism that verification will proceed despite a temporary court pause ordered April 10 by Sturgeon Lake Cree Nation challenging treaty violations. Ongoing legal hurdles and Premier Danielle Smith's non-committal stance underscore uncertainty, with resolution hinging on judicial outcomes before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$350,499 Vol.
$350,499 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$350,499 Vol.
$350,499 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists, led by Stay Free Alberta, announced on March 31, 2026, that their citizen initiative petition surpassed the 177,732-signature threshold required to trigger a provincial referendum question on independence, targeting the scheduled October 19, 2026, vote featuring nine ballot issues. This development, fueled by longstanding grievances over federal resource policies and emboldened by U.S. political rhetoric, has driven trader consensus to a 66.5% implied probability for Yes, reflecting optimism that verification will proceed despite a temporary court pause ordered April 10 by Sturgeon Lake Cree Nation challenging treaty violations. Ongoing legal hurdles and Premier Danielle Smith's non-committal stance underscore uncertainty, with resolution hinging on judicial outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$350,499Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists, led by Stay Free Alberta, announced on March 31, 2026, that their citizen initiative petition surpassed the 177,732-signature threshold required to trigger a provincial referendum question on independence, targeting the scheduled October 19, 2026, vote featuring nine ballot issues. This development, fueled by longstanding grievances over federal resource policies and emboldened by U.S. political rhetoric, has driven trader consensus to a 66.5% implied probability for Yes, reflecting optimism that verification will proceed despite a temporary court pause ordered April 10 by Sturgeon Lake Cree Nation challenging treaty violations. Ongoing legal hurdles and Premier Danielle Smith's non-committal stance underscore uncertainty, with resolution hinging on judicial outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$350,499Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta separatists, led by Stay Free Alberta, announced on March 31, 2026, that their citizen initiative petition surpassed the 177,732-signature threshold required to trigger a provincial referendum question on independence, targeting the scheduled October 19, 2026, vote featuring nine ballot issues. This development, fueled by longstanding grievances over federal resource policies and emboldened by U.S. political rhetoric, has driven trader consensus to a 66.5% implied probability for Yes, reflecting optimism that verification will proceed despite a temporary court pause ordered April 10 by Sturgeon Lake Cree Nation challenging treaty violations. Ongoing legal hurdles and Premier Danielle Smith's non-committal stance underscore uncertainty, with resolution hinging on judicial outcomes before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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