Caroline Elliott leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership race, buoyed by March Mainstreet polling showing her in a tight contest with Peter Milobar amid strong fundraising that cleared the party's initial hurdles by early April. Milobar trails at 28% on robust MLA endorsements—eight caucus members versus Elliott's three—positioning him as a strong organizational favorite despite past BC United ties criticized by former leader John Rustad. Iain Black holds third at 19.4% with steady support, while lower tiers reflect recent consolidations like Warren Hamm's dropout backing Yuri Fulmer. Frontrunners skipped unsanctioned debates this month, sparking integrity concerns, as membership voting opens May 9 ahead of the May 30 announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC
Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC
Caroline Elliott 41%
Peter Milobar 28%
Iain Black 19.4%
Yuri Fulmer 6.9%
$29,635 Vol.
$29,635 Vol.

Caroline Elliott
41%

Peter Milobar
28%

Iain Black
19%

Yuri Fulmer
7%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
6%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
Caroline Elliott 41%
Peter Milobar 28%
Iain Black 19.4%
Yuri Fulmer 6.9%
$29,635 Vol.
$29,635 Vol.

Caroline Elliott
41%

Peter Milobar
28%

Iain Black
19%

Yuri Fulmer
7%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
6%

Harman Bhangu
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Caroline Elliott leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability in the B.C. Conservative Party leadership race, buoyed by March Mainstreet polling showing her in a tight contest with Peter Milobar amid strong fundraising that cleared the party's initial hurdles by early April. Milobar trails at 28% on robust MLA endorsements—eight caucus members versus Elliott's three—positioning him as a strong organizational favorite despite past BC United ties criticized by former leader John Rustad. Iain Black holds third at 19.4% with steady support, while lower tiers reflect recent consolidations like Warren Hamm's dropout backing Yuri Fulmer. Frontrunners skipped unsanctioned debates this month, sparking integrity concerns, as membership voting opens May 9 ahead of the May 30 announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti