Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 50% implied probability, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's repeated public statements ruling out a near-term public listing and the company's ongoing private funding at a $20 billion valuation amid hypergrowth. Recent catalysts include a surge to over $450 million ARR by April 2026—up from $200 million late last year—powered by the Perplexity Computer agent, which orchestrates multiple large language models like Claude and GPT variants for enterprise task automation via subscriptions, abandoning low-yield ads. This positions 50B–75B (15%) as the top cap if an IPO materializes later, reflecting AI search competitive dynamics with OpenAI and Google, though publisher lawsuits add uncertainty; watch for Q2 funding announcements or S-1 filings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPerplessità IPO Chiusura Market Cap
Perplessità IPO Chiusura Market Cap
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 47%
50–75 miliardi 14.7%
75–100 miliardi 9.3%
Oltre 100 miliardi 8.5%
$139,717 Vol.
$139,717 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 miliardi
4%
20–30 miliardi
4%
30–40 miliardi
6%
40–50 miliardi
5%
50–75 miliardi
15%
75–100 miliardi
9%
Oltre 100 miliardi
9%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
47%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 47%
50–75 miliardi 14.7%
75–100 miliardi 9.3%
Oltre 100 miliardi 8.5%
$139,717 Vol.
$139,717 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 miliardi
$4,454 Vol.
4%
20–30 miliardi
$5,889 Vol.
4%
30–40 miliardi
$4,370 Vol.
6%
40–50 miliardi
$4,192 Vol.
5%
50–75 miliardi
$6,236 Vol.
15%
75–100 miliardi
$3,336 Vol.
9%
Oltre 100 miliardi
$4,811 Vol.
9%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
$106,430 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 50% implied probability, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's repeated public statements ruling out a near-term public listing and the company's ongoing private funding at a $20 billion valuation amid hypergrowth. Recent catalysts include a surge to over $450 million ARR by April 2026—up from $200 million late last year—powered by the Perplexity Computer agent, which orchestrates multiple large language models like Claude and GPT variants for enterprise task automation via subscriptions, abandoning low-yield ads. This positions 50B–75B (15%) as the top cap if an IPO materializes later, reflecting AI search competitive dynamics with OpenAI and Google, though publisher lawsuits add uncertainty; watch for Q2 funding announcements or S-1 filings.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$139,717Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 50% implied probability, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's repeated public statements ruling out a near-term public listing and the company's ongoing private funding at a $20 billion valuation amid hypergrowth. Recent catalysts include a surge to over $450 million ARR by April 2026—up from $200 million late last year—powered by the Perplexity Computer agent, which orchestrates multiple large language models like Claude and GPT variants for enterprise task automation via subscriptions, abandoning low-yield ads. This positions 50B–75B (15%) as the top cap if an IPO materializes later, reflecting AI search competitive dynamics with OpenAI and Google, though publisher lawsuits add uncertainty; watch for Q2 funding announcements or S-1 filings.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$139,717Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 50% implied probability, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's repeated public statements ruling out a near-term public listing and the company's ongoing private funding at a $20 billion valuation amid hypergrowth. Recent catalysts include a surge to over $450 million ARR by April 2026—up from $200 million late last year—powered by the Perplexity Computer agent, which orchestrates multiple large language models like Claude and GPT variants for enterprise task automation via subscriptions, abandoning low-yield ads. This positions 50B–75B (15%) as the top cap if an IPO materializes later, reflecting AI search competitive dynamics with OpenAI and Google, though publisher lawsuits add uncertainty; watch for Q2 funding announcements or S-1 filings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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