Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88.5% implied probability, propelled by a dramatic surge in secondary market valuations to $1.2 trillion as of early May 2026—up 900% since October 2025—driven by $14 billion annual run-rate revenue growing 10x yearly, Claude AI model adoption, and strategic deals like Google's up-to-$40 billion investment commitment and a SpaceX data center partnership. February's record $30 billion Series G funding at $380 billion post-money marked a valuation inflection, with preemptive VC offers now exceeding $800 billion underscoring competitive positioning against OpenAI. No IPO by end-2027 trades at 10%, reflecting 2026 IPO preparations amid regulatory and capacity hurdles, while lower brackets languish below 3% given the AI gold rush momentum; watch for S-1 filing or Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica (scaglioni inferiori)
Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO antropica (scaglioni inferiori)
600Mrd+ 89%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 10%
400–600 miliardi 2.4%
<100 miliardi <1%
$292,430 Vol.
$292,430 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–200 miliardi
<1%
200–300 miliardi
<1%
300–400 miliardi
<1%
400–600 miliardi
2%
600Mrd+
89%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
10%
600Mrd+ 89%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027 10%
400–600 miliardi 2.4%
<100 miliardi <1%
$292,430 Vol.
$292,430 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<100 miliardi
$137,606 Vol.
<1%
100–200 miliardi
$52,585 Vol.
<1%
200–300 miliardi
$8,310 Vol.
<1%
300–400 miliardi
$59,539 Vol.
<1%
400–600 miliardi
$8,570 Vol.
2%
600Mrd+
$14,387 Vol.
89%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$11,433 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88.5% implied probability, propelled by a dramatic surge in secondary market valuations to $1.2 trillion as of early May 2026—up 900% since October 2025—driven by $14 billion annual run-rate revenue growing 10x yearly, Claude AI model adoption, and strategic deals like Google's up-to-$40 billion investment commitment and a SpaceX data center partnership. February's record $30 billion Series G funding at $380 billion post-money marked a valuation inflection, with preemptive VC offers now exceeding $800 billion underscoring competitive positioning against OpenAI. No IPO by end-2027 trades at 10%, reflecting 2026 IPO preparations amid regulatory and capacity hurdles, while lower brackets languish below 3% given the AI gold rush momentum; watch for S-1 filing or Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$292,430Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88.5% implied probability, propelled by a dramatic surge in secondary market valuations to $1.2 trillion as of early May 2026—up 900% since October 2025—driven by $14 billion annual run-rate revenue growing 10x yearly, Claude AI model adoption, and strategic deals like Google's up-to-$40 billion investment commitment and a SpaceX data center partnership. February's record $30 billion Series G funding at $380 billion post-money marked a valuation inflection, with preemptive VC offers now exceeding $800 billion underscoring competitive positioning against OpenAI. No IPO by end-2027 trades at 10%, reflecting 2026 IPO preparations amid regulatory and capacity hurdles, while lower brackets languish below 3% given the AI gold rush momentum; watch for S-1 filing or Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$292,430Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88.5% implied probability, propelled by a dramatic surge in secondary market valuations to $1.2 trillion as of early May 2026—up 900% since October 2025—driven by $14 billion annual run-rate revenue growing 10x yearly, Claude AI model adoption, and strategic deals like Google's up-to-$40 billion investment commitment and a SpaceX data center partnership. February's record $30 billion Series G funding at $380 billion post-money marked a valuation inflection, with preemptive VC offers now exceeding $800 billion underscoring competitive positioning against OpenAI. No IPO by end-2027 trades at 10%, reflecting 2026 IPO preparations amid regulatory and capacity hurdles, while lower brackets languish below 3% given the AI gold rush momentum; watch for S-1 filing or Q2 earnings previews as key catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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