Meta's aggressive push into proprietary frontier models through its Superintelligence Labs, including the August rollout of Muse Spark 1.2 and the open-weight Muse Glimmer 30B under a permissive Apache license, has solidified trader consensus around its #2 positioning behind Anthropic. These releases improved agentic capabilities, coding performance, and local deployment options while expanding Meta's data center buildout and API ecosystem, outpacing peers in open-model distribution and adoption metrics. Strong benchmark gains for Llama 4 variants and Muse series further reinforced this view. However, persistent gaps versus Anthropic and OpenAI on top intelligence indices, recent internal restructuring setbacks, and lower safety scores could still shift sentiment if new releases or competitive breakthroughs materialize before month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato#2 AI Lab fine agosto? (Controllo stile attivato)
#2 AI Lab fine agosto? (Controllo stile attivato)
Meta 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$99,924 Vol.
$99,924 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
No
Meta
Sì
No
Moonshot
No
OpenAI
No
Alibaba
No
SpaceXAI
No
Z.ai
No
Baidu
No
Xiaomi
No
DeepSeek
No
ByteDance
No
MiniMax
No
Thinky
No
Meituan
No
Mistral
No
Amazon
No
Nvidia
No
Tencent
No
StepFun
No
Microsoft
No
Meta 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$99,924 Vol.
$99,924 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
$4,193 Vol.
No
Meta
$27,319 Vol.
Sì
$18,832 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$4,196 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$4,771 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$8,282 Vol.
No
SpaceXAI
$3,539 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$3,684 Vol.
No
Baidu
$3,351 Vol.
No
Xiaomi
$549 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$1,116 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$3,372 Vol.
No
MiniMax
$3,388 Vol.
No
Thinky
$3,299 Vol.
No
Meituan
$657 Vol.
No
Mistral
$3,281 Vol.
No
Amazon
$593 Vol.
No
Nvidia
$570 Vol.
No
Tencent
$586 Vol.
No
StepFun
$716 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$3,632 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Meta's aggressive push into proprietary frontier models through its Superintelligence Labs, including the August rollout of Muse Spark 1.2 and the open-weight Muse Glimmer 30B under a permissive Apache license, has solidified trader consensus around its #2 positioning behind Anthropic. These releases improved agentic capabilities, coding performance, and local deployment options while expanding Meta's data center buildout and API ecosystem, outpacing peers in open-model distribution and adoption metrics. Strong benchmark gains for Llama 4 variants and Muse series further reinforced this view. However, persistent gaps versus Anthropic and OpenAI on top intelligence indices, recent internal restructuring setbacks, and lower safety scores could still shift sentiment if new releases or competitive breakthroughs materialize before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$99,924Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 8:54 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labsRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Meta's aggressive push into proprietary frontier models through its Superintelligence Labs, including the August rollout of Muse Spark 1.2 and the open-weight Muse Glimmer 30B under a permissive Apache license, has solidified trader consensus around its #2 positioning behind Anthropic. These releases improved agentic capabilities, coding performance, and local deployment options while expanding Meta's data center buildout and API ecosystem, outpacing peers in open-model distribution and adoption metrics. Strong benchmark gains for Llama 4 variants and Muse series further reinforced this view. However, persistent gaps versus Anthropic and OpenAI on top intelligence indices, recent internal restructuring setbacks, and lower safety scores could still shift sentiment if new releases or competitive breakthroughs materialize before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$99,924Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 20, 2026, 8:54 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labsRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Meta's aggressive push into proprietary frontier models through its Superintelligence Labs, including the August rollout of Muse Spark 1.2 and the open-weight Muse Glimmer 30B under a permissive Apache license, has solidified trader consensus around its #2 positioning behind Anthropic. These releases improved agentic capabilities, coding performance, and local deployment options while expanding Meta's data center buildout and API ecosystem, outpacing peers in open-model distribution and adoption metrics. Strong benchmark gains for Llama 4 variants and Muse series further reinforced this view. However, persistent gaps versus Anthropic and OpenAI on top intelligence indices, recent internal restructuring setbacks, and lower safety scores could still shift sentiment if new releases or competitive breakthroughs materialize before month-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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