Google’s repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped past July—remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, as the model continues partner-only testing without meeting internal coding and agentic benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) and live dialogue variants in September, while confirming pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with no firm public timeline, has produced market-implied odds favoring no Pro release before November, though any successful partner feedback or surprise October launch could shift consensus quickly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato da...?
Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato da...?
$1,325,111 Vol.
30 set 2026
September 30
8%
15 ottobre
47%
October 31
82%
$1,325,111 Vol.
September 30
$105,662 Vol.
8%
15 ottobre
$18,938 Vol.
47%
October 31
$31,854 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped past July—remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, as the model continues partner-only testing without meeting internal coding and agentic benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) and live dialogue variants in September, while confirming pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with no firm public timeline, has produced market-implied odds favoring no Pro release before November, though any successful partner feedback or surprise October launch could shift consensus quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,325,111Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped past July—remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, as the model continues partner-only testing without meeting internal coding and agentic benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) and live dialogue variants in September, while confirming pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with no firm public timeline, has produced market-implied odds favoring no Pro release before November, though any successful partner feedback or surprise October launch could shift consensus quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,325,111Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Google’s repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased for June at I/O 2026, then slipped past July—remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment, as the model continues partner-only testing without meeting internal coding and agentic benchmarks. The company has instead shipped rapid Flash iterations (3.6 through 3.8) and live dialogue variants in September, while confirming pre-training on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with no firm public timeline, has produced market-implied odds favoring no Pro release before November, though any successful partner feedback or surprise October launch could shift consensus quickly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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