Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings estimates, reflecting the company's impeccable track record of exceeding Wall Street expectations in 15 of the past 18 quarters, alongside robust analyst projections for EPS of $0.79 (up 15% year-over-year) and revenue of $12.19 billion. Key drivers include accelerating ad-tier revenue, sustained paid sharing uptake, and strong content slate performance amid favorable streaming sector dynamics following Q4 2025's modest EPS beat. With the earnings release imminent after market close today (April 16), tail risks persist from potential misses on forward guidance, subscriber growth shortfalls due to market saturation, or macroeconomic pressures curbing discretionary spending.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNetflix Inc (NFLX) supererà i guadagni trimestrali?
Netflix Inc (NFLX) supererà i guadagni trimestrali?
Sì
$28,349 Vol.
$28,349 Vol.
16 apr 2026
Sì
$28,349 Vol.
$28,349 Vol.
16 apr 2026
As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings estimates, reflecting the company's impeccable track record of exceeding Wall Street expectations in 15 of the past 18 quarters, alongside robust analyst projections for EPS of $0.79 (up 15% year-over-year) and revenue of $12.19 billion. Key drivers include accelerating ad-tier revenue, sustained paid sharing uptake, and strong content slate performance amid favorable streaming sector dynamics following Q4 2025's modest EPS beat. With the earnings release imminent after market close today (April 16), tail risks persist from potential misses on forward guidance, subscriber growth shortfalls due to market saturation, or macroeconomic pressures curbing discretionary spending.
As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$28,349Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings estimates, reflecting the company's impeccable track record of exceeding Wall Street expectations in 15 of the past 18 quarters, alongside robust analyst projections for EPS of $0.79 (up 15% year-over-year) and revenue of $12.19 billion. Key drivers include accelerating ad-tier revenue, sustained paid sharing uptake, and strong content slate performance amid favorable streaming sector dynamics following Q4 2025's modest EPS beat. With the earnings release imminent after market close today (April 16), tail risks persist from potential misses on forward guidance, subscriber growth shortfalls due to market saturation, or macroeconomic pressures curbing discretionary spending.
As of market creation, Netflix Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix Inc's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.76 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix Inc reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.76 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Netflix Inc releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$28,349Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) to beat Q1 2026 quarterly earnings estimates, reflecting the company's impeccable track record of exceeding Wall Street expectations in 15 of the past 18 quarters, alongside robust analyst projections for EPS of $0.79 (up 15% year-over-year) and revenue of $12.19 billion. Key drivers include accelerating ad-tier revenue, sustained paid sharing uptake, and strong content slate performance amid favorable streaming sector dynamics following Q4 2025's modest EPS beat. With the earnings release imminent after market close today (April 16), tail risks persist from potential misses on forward guidance, subscriber growth shortfalls due to market saturation, or macroeconomic pressures curbing discretionary spending.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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