Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures hitting $4,900 or above by end-June 2026, up sharply from lower levels amid a 3% surge to $4,703 on May 6 fueled by escalating U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions and easing inflation fears. Current spot gold hovers near $4,730, supported by declining real yields on 10-year Treasuries below 2%, persistent central bank purchases, and dollar softening against major currencies. Hawkish April FOMC stance held rates steady, yet markets anticipate cuts if labor data softens. Watch April CPI release on May 12 and June 16-17 FOMC for catalysts, as hotter prints could pressure prices while cooler readings reinforce upside momentum through quarter-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCosa raggiungerà Gold (GC) __ entro la fine di giugno?
Cosa raggiungerà Gold (GC) __ entro la fine di giugno?
$4,718,031 Vol.
↑ $10.000
1%
↑ $9.000
1%
↑ $8.500
2%
↑ $8.000
2%
↑ $6.500
2%
↑ $7.000
2%
↑ 6.200 $
3%
↑ $6.000
3%
↑ $5.700
8%
↑ $5.500
10%
↑ $5.400
11%
↑ $5,300
17%
↑ $5.200
25%
↑ $5.100
36%
↑ $5.000
50%
↑ $4.900
68%
↓ $4.500
55%
↓ $4.400
38%
↓ $4.300
22%
↓ $4.200
18%
↓ $3.800
5%
↓ $3.400
3%
$4,718,031 Vol.
↑ $10.000
1%
↑ $9.000
1%
↑ $8.500
2%
↑ $8.000
2%
↑ $6.500
2%
↑ $7.000
2%
↑ 6.200 $
3%
↑ $6.000
3%
↑ $5.700
8%
↑ $5.500
10%
↑ $5.400
11%
↑ $5,300
17%
↑ $5.200
25%
↑ $5.100
36%
↑ $5.000
50%
↑ $4.900
68%
↓ $4.500
55%
↓ $4.400
38%
↓ $4.300
22%
↓ $4.200
18%
↓ $3.800
5%
↓ $3.400
3%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures hitting $4,900 or above by end-June 2026, up sharply from lower levels amid a 3% surge to $4,703 on May 6 fueled by escalating U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions and easing inflation fears. Current spot gold hovers near $4,730, supported by declining real yields on 10-year Treasuries below 2%, persistent central bank purchases, and dollar softening against major currencies. Hawkish April FOMC stance held rates steady, yet markets anticipate cuts if labor data softens. Watch April CPI release on May 12 and June 16-17 FOMC for catalysts, as hotter prints could pressure prices while cooler readings reinforce upside momentum through quarter-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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