Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX (95% implied probability) and Cerebras Systems (92%) to complete initial public offerings before year-end 2026, propelled by reports of SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April and ongoing Starlink monetization progress amid favorable post-2025 IPO market recovery. Lower odds for AI leaders like Anthropic (55%) and OpenAI (36%) reflect recent debt financings—Databricks' $1.8 billion raise in January—and sky-high private valuations exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns over public market reception and regulatory hurdles for frontier AI models. Discord (61%) benefits from rejected acquisition offers, signaling IPO momentum. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and S-1 disclosures as key catalysts, with broader tech IPO pipeline constrained by volatile equities and election-year uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIPO prima del 2027?
IPO prima del 2027?
$5,773,263 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
95%
Cerebras
92%
Discord
56%
Anthropic
53%
WHOOP
50%
OpenAI
37%
Remoto
34%
SHEIN
27%
Freddie Mac
25%
Ledger
24%
Deel
23%
Canva
23%
Epic Games
20%
Databricks
19%
Ramp
17%
Applied Intuition
16%
Rippling
16%
Mistral AI
16%
Fannie Mae
15%
Waymo
14%
Ripple Labs
14%
Revolut
14%
Celonis
13%
ByteDance
12%
Vanta
11%
Glean
11%
Stripe
11%
Anysphere (Cursor)
10%
Anduril Industries
9%
Anduril
9%
Brex
4%
$5,773,263 Vol.
SpaceX
$506,376 Vol.
95%
Cerebras
$286,301 Vol.
92%
Discord
$439,876 Vol.
56%
Anthropic
$183,104 Vol.
53%
WHOOP
$50 Vol.
50%
OpenAI
$213,977 Vol.
37%
Remoto
$52,640 Vol.
34%
SHEIN
$77,147 Vol.
27%
Freddie Mac
$234,398 Vol.
25%
Ledger
$497,637 Vol.
24%
Deel
$120,272 Vol.
23%
Canva
$24,074 Vol.
23%
Epic Games
$70,829 Vol.
20%
Databricks
$462,019 Vol.
19%
Ramp
$141,117 Vol.
17%
Applied Intuition
$189,144 Vol.
16%
Rippling
$108,494 Vol.
16%
Mistral AI
$146,745 Vol.
16%
Fannie Mae
$159,026 Vol.
15%
Waymo
$44,771 Vol.
14%
Ripple Labs
$136,516 Vol.
14%
Revolut
$51,175 Vol.
14%
Celonis
$198,559 Vol.
13%
ByteDance
$8,824 Vol.
12%
Vanta
$123,170 Vol.
11%
Glean
$43,256 Vol.
11%
Stripe
$242,508 Vol.
11%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$91,582 Vol.
10%
Anduril Industries
$28,549 Vol.
9%
Anduril
$347,030 Vol.
9%
Brex
$183,435 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX (95% implied probability) and Cerebras Systems (92%) to complete initial public offerings before year-end 2026, propelled by reports of SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April and ongoing Starlink monetization progress amid favorable post-2025 IPO market recovery. Lower odds for AI leaders like Anthropic (55%) and OpenAI (36%) reflect recent debt financings—Databricks' $1.8 billion raise in January—and sky-high private valuations exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns over public market reception and regulatory hurdles for frontier AI models. Discord (61%) benefits from rejected acquisition offers, signaling IPO momentum. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and S-1 disclosures as key catalysts, with broader tech IPO pipeline constrained by volatile equities and election-year uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,773,263Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX (95% implied probability) and Cerebras Systems (92%) to complete initial public offerings before year-end 2026, propelled by reports of SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April and ongoing Starlink monetization progress amid favorable post-2025 IPO market recovery. Lower odds for AI leaders like Anthropic (55%) and OpenAI (36%) reflect recent debt financings—Databricks' $1.8 billion raise in January—and sky-high private valuations exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns over public market reception and regulatory hurdles for frontier AI models. Discord (61%) benefits from rejected acquisition offers, signaling IPO momentum. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and S-1 disclosures as key catalysts, with broader tech IPO pipeline constrained by volatile equities and election-year uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,773,263Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX (95% implied probability) and Cerebras Systems (92%) to complete initial public offerings before year-end 2026, propelled by reports of SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April and ongoing Starlink monetization progress amid favorable post-2025 IPO market recovery. Lower odds for AI leaders like Anthropic (55%) and OpenAI (36%) reflect recent debt financings—Databricks' $1.8 billion raise in January—and sky-high private valuations exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns over public market reception and regulatory hurdles for frontier AI models. Discord (61%) benefits from rejected acquisition offers, signaling IPO momentum. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and S-1 disclosures as key catalysts, with broader tech IPO pipeline constrained by volatile equities and election-year uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti