Databricks' data and AI platform has drawn strong private capital recently, including a $4 billion Series L round at a $134 billion valuation in December 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, reducing pressure to list quickly. With no S-1 filing submitted as of late May 2026 and analyst consensus pointing to a Q3 2026 confidential filing followed by a late-2026 or early-2027 Nasdaq debut, traders assign 96.1% probability to no IPO by the June 30, 2026 cutoff. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled flexibility on timing without committing to an early window. An accelerated public debut before the deadline would require an unusually rapid regulatory process or sudden shift in market conditions, both viewed as low-probability events given current preparation signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Databricks
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 96.1%
100–125 mld 1.2%
125–150 miliardi 1.1%
200–250 miliardi <1%
$412,394 Vol.
$412,394 Vol.
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–125 mld
1%
125–150 miliardi
1%
150–175 miliardi
<1%
175–200 miliardi
<1%
200–250 miliardi
1%
250B+
<1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
96%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 96.1%
100–125 mld 1.2%
125–150 miliardi 1.1%
200–250 miliardi <1%
$412,394 Vol.
$412,394 Vol.
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–125 mld
1%
125–150 miliardi
1%
150–175 miliardi
<1%
175–200 miliardi
<1%
200–250 miliardi
1%
250B+
<1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
96%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks' data and AI platform has drawn strong private capital recently, including a $4 billion Series L round at a $134 billion valuation in December 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, reducing pressure to list quickly. With no S-1 filing submitted as of late May 2026 and analyst consensus pointing to a Q3 2026 confidential filing followed by a late-2026 or early-2027 Nasdaq debut, traders assign 96.1% probability to no IPO by the June 30, 2026 cutoff. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled flexibility on timing without committing to an early window. An accelerated public debut before the deadline would require an unusually rapid regulatory process or sudden shift in market conditions, both viewed as low-probability events given current preparation signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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