Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Databricks
Capitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Databricks
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 96.1%
100–125 mld 1.3%
125–150 miliardi 1.2%
200–250 miliardi 1.0%
$412,394 Vol.
$412,394 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–125 mld
1%
125–150 miliardi
1%
150–175 miliardi
<1%
175–200 miliardi
<1%
200–250 miliardi
1%
250B+
<1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
96%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 96.1%
100–125 mld 1.3%
125–150 miliardi 1.2%
200–250 miliardi 1.0%
$412,394 Vol.
$412,394 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<100 miliardi
$33,965 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mld
$62,580 Vol.
1%
125–150 miliardi
$27,166 Vol.
1%
150–175 miliardi
$60,230 Vol.
<1%
175–200 miliardi
$58,483 Vol.
<1%
200–250 miliardi
$21,515 Vol.
1%
250B+
$127,318 Vol.
<1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
$21,137 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$412,394Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$412,394Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks' market-implied 96% probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and consistent signals that the data and AI platform company is targeting a second-half 2026 or 2027 listing. Recent private funding rounds, including a $4 billion Series L at a $134 billion valuation in late 2025 and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January 2026, have provided ample capital while the CEO has described the firm as IPO-ready but focused on long-term growth rather than an accelerated timeline. With no public registration statements or regulatory steps completed as of April 2026, analysts project a Q3 filing at earliest. Market conditions, earnings momentum, or an unexpected strategic shift could still compress the schedule, though such catalysts appear improbable within the next 30 days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti