Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.1% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid the firm's robust private funding momentum. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round at a $134 billion valuation, following $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, providing ample runway for its data lakehouse platform and AI/ML workloads without public market pressure. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a potential 2026 listing contingent on market conditions, but standard IPO timelines—typically requiring 4-6 weeks post-filing for roadshows—make a Q2 close improbable absent sudden acceleration. Realistic challenges include an unannounced confidential S-1 and favorable equity windows, though recent enterprise software IPO delays underscore execution risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Databricks
Capitalizzazione di mercato chiusura IPO Databricks
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 94.1%
100–125 mld 1.7%
125–150 miliardi 1.6%
200–250 miliardi 1.3%
$402,819 Vol.
$402,819 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<100 miliardi
<1%
100–125 mld
2%
125–150 miliardi
2%
150–175 miliardi
<1%
175–200 miliardi
<1%
200–250 miliardi
1%
250B+
1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
94%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 94.1%
100–125 mld 1.7%
125–150 miliardi 1.6%
200–250 miliardi 1.3%
$402,819 Vol.
$402,819 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<100 miliardi
$33,196 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mld
$61,644 Vol.
2%
125–150 miliardi
$26,452 Vol.
2%
150–175 miliardi
$59,742 Vol.
<1%
175–200 miliardi
$58,148 Vol.
<1%
200–250 miliardi
$21,112 Vol.
1%
250B+
$126,074 Vol.
1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
$16,452 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.1% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid the firm's robust private funding momentum. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round at a $134 billion valuation, following $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, providing ample runway for its data lakehouse platform and AI/ML workloads without public market pressure. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a potential 2026 listing contingent on market conditions, but standard IPO timelines—typically requiring 4-6 weeks post-filing for roadshows—make a Q2 close improbable absent sudden acceleration. Realistic challenges include an unannounced confidential S-1 and favorable equity windows, though recent enterprise software IPO delays underscore execution risks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$402,819Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.1% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid the firm's robust private funding momentum. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round at a $134 billion valuation, following $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, providing ample runway for its data lakehouse platform and AI/ML workloads without public market pressure. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a potential 2026 listing contingent on market conditions, but standard IPO timelines—typically requiring 4-6 weeks post-filing for roadshows—make a Q2 close improbable absent sudden acceleration. Realistic challenges include an unannounced confidential S-1 and favorable equity windows, though recent enterprise software IPO delays underscore execution risks.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$402,819Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 94.1% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid the firm's robust private funding momentum. In February 2026, Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round at a $134 billion valuation, following $1.8 billion in debt financing in January, providing ample runway for its data lakehouse platform and AI/ML workloads without public market pressure. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a potential 2026 listing contingent on market conditions, but standard IPO timelines—typically requiring 4-6 weeks post-filing for roadshows—make a Q2 close improbable absent sudden acceleration. Realistic challenges include an unannounced confidential S-1 and favorable equity windows, though recent enterprise software IPO delays underscore execution risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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