Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$420-$430 100.0%
< $380 <1%
$380-$390 <1%
$390-$400 <1%
$5,668 Vol.
$5,668 Vol.
24 apr 2026
< $380
No
$380-$390
No
$390-$400
No
$400-$410
No
$410-$420
No
$420-$430
Sì
$430-$440
No
$440-$450
No
$450-$460
No
$460-$470
No
>$470
No
$420-$430 100.0%
< $380 <1%
$380-$390 <1%
$390-$400 <1%
$5,668 Vol.
$5,668 Vol.
24 apr 2026
< $380
$315 Vol.
No
$380-$390
$317 Vol.
No
$390-$400
$1,193 Vol.
No
$400-$410
$67 Vol.
No
$410-$420
$1,145 Vol.
No
$420-$430
$1,751 Vol.
Sì
$430-$440
$24 Vol.
No
$440-$450
$209 Vol.
No
$450-$460
$24 Vol.
No
$460-$470
$356 Vol.
No
>$470
$266 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,668Data di fine
24 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$5,668Data di fine
24 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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