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Tecnologia·Big Tech

Il prossimo CEO di Apple?

Market icon
Tecnologia·Big Tech

Il prossimo CEO di Apple?

John Ternus 36%

Greg Joswiak 9.8%

Sabih Khan 5%

Craig Federighi 2.9%

Polymarket

$676,283 Vol.

John Ternus 36%

Greg Joswiak 9.8%

Sabih Khan 5%

Craig Federighi 2.9%

Polymarket

$676,283 Vol.

John Ternus

$585,463 Vol.

36%

Greg Joswiak

$50,359 Vol.

9%

Sabih Khan

$8,252 Vol.

5%

Craig Federighi

$32,208 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of hardware engineering, as the frontrunner at 36% implied probability for next CEO, propelled by Bloomberg's March 22, 2026, in-depth profile dubbing him Tim Cook's "nice guy" heir apparent amid accelerated succession planning as Apple nears its 50th anniversary. Ternus's expanded oversight of design teams since late 2025, reputation for reversing declining product quality in hardware like MacBooks, and prominent keynote roles have solidified his internal momentum over marketing SVP Greg Joswiak (9.4%), operations head Sabih Khan (4.5%), and software engineering SVP Craig Federighi (2.9%). Cook's mid-March dismissal of imminent retirement rumors adds uncertainty, but traders eye year-end announcements before the market's December 31 deadline, with WWDC potentially catalyzing shifts.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Volume
$676,283
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of hardware engineering, as the frontrunner at 36% implied probability for next CEO, propelled by Bloomberg's March 22, 2026, in-depth profile dubbing him Tim Cook's "nice guy" heir apparent amid accelerated succession planning as Apple nears its 50th anniversary. Ternus's expanded oversight of design teams since late 2025, reputation for reversing declining product quality in hardware like MacBooks, and prominent keynote roles have solidified his internal momentum over marketing SVP Greg Joswiak (9.4%), operations head Sabih Khan (4.5%), and software engineering SVP Craig Federighi (2.9%). Cook's mid-March dismissal of imminent retirement rumors adds uncertainty, but traders eye year-end announcements before the market's December 31 deadline, with WWDC potentially catalyzing shifts.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Volume
$676,283
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo CEO di Apple?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "John Ternus" a 36%, seguito da "Greg Joswiak" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 36¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo CEO di Apple?" ha generato $676.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo CEO di Apple?", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo CEO di Apple?" è "John Ternus" a 36%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Greg Joswiak" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo CEO di Apple?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.