Strong sales of the MacBook Neo since its March 2026 launch, combined with Apple's ongoing production and recent price adjustment to $699 amid RAM shortages rather than any exit from the lineup, underpin the 95.5% market-implied odds against discontinuation. The entry-level laptop using the A18 Pro chip has expanded Apple's reach to budget buyers and students without cannibalizing higher-margin MacBook Air models, while refurbished units and education pricing further support sustained availability. Traders see little risk of full removal given typical multi-year product cycles for new Mac lines and the absence of reported supply or demand collapse. Realistic shifts could still arise from sharp sales drops in late 2026, major component cost spikes forcing a full redesign, or unexpected regulatory hurdles on imports, though none appear imminent based on current supply chain and retail data.