Moonshot AI has yet to release Kimi K3, its anticipated next-generation large language model, fueling trader anticipation amid rapid iteration on the Kimi series. The January 2026 launch of open-source Kimi K2.5 delivered state-of-the-art agentic intelligence—coordinating up to 100 sub-agents for complex tasks—and multimodal vision, topping benchmarks like MMMU-Pro (78.5%) and SWE-Bench Verified (76.8%). A K2.6 Code Preview beta emerged April 13, while $500 million in Series C funding explicitly targets K3 development and compute scaling. In China's fierce AI competition with DeepSeek and global leaders like OpenAI, Moonshot's trillion-parameter MoE architecture positions it strongly, though frontier training delays remain common; monitor official channels for rollout signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKimi K3 released by…?
Kimi K3 released by…?
$26,414 Vol.
April 30
7%
June 30
45%
$26,414 Vol.
April 30
7%
June 30
45%
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI has yet to release Kimi K3, its anticipated next-generation large language model, fueling trader anticipation amid rapid iteration on the Kimi series. The January 2026 launch of open-source Kimi K2.5 delivered state-of-the-art agentic intelligence—coordinating up to 100 sub-agents for complex tasks—and multimodal vision, topping benchmarks like MMMU-Pro (78.5%) and SWE-Bench Verified (76.8%). A K2.6 Code Preview beta emerged April 13, while $500 million in Series C funding explicitly targets K3 development and compute scaling. In China's fierce AI competition with DeepSeek and global leaders like OpenAI, Moonshot's trillion-parameter MoE architecture positions it strongly, though frontier training delays remain common; monitor official channels for rollout signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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