Discord’s confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and engagement of Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan have yet to yield a public S-1, leaving timing uncertain through 2027. Secondary-market data show Forge pricing shares at an $8.53 billion valuation as of July 2026, well below the $14.7–15 billion peak from 2021, reflecting compressed revenue multiples amid roughly $600 million in 2024 revenue and ongoing efforts to expand monetization beyond gaming. With no confirmed IPO window and broader tech-listing conditions still variable, trader-implied odds remain closely split between an 8–11 billion closing market cap and no IPO by year-end 2027. Key swing factors include the pace of user-growth and margin expansion, any upward revision in analyst estimates, and shifts in IPO-market sentiment that could alter the implied probability distribution across valuation buckets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCapitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO Discord
8–11 miliardi 25%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027 24.3%
<5 miliardi 17%
20B+ 16.0%
$26,128 Vol.
$26,128 Vol.
<5 miliardi
17%
5–8 miliardi
13%
8–11 miliardi
25%
11–14 miliardi
1%
14–17 miliardi
1%
17–20 miliardi
10%
20B+
16%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
24%
8–11 miliardi 25%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027 24.3%
<5 miliardi 17%
20B+ 16.0%
$26,128 Vol.
$26,128 Vol.
<5 miliardi
17%
5–8 miliardi
13%
8–11 miliardi
25%
11–14 miliardi
1%
14–17 miliardi
1%
17–20 miliardi
10%
20B+
16%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
24%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and engagement of Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan have yet to yield a public S-1, leaving timing uncertain through 2027. Secondary-market data show Forge pricing shares at an $8.53 billion valuation as of July 2026, well below the $14.7–15 billion peak from 2021, reflecting compressed revenue multiples amid roughly $600 million in 2024 revenue and ongoing efforts to expand monetization beyond gaming. With no confirmed IPO window and broader tech-listing conditions still variable, trader-implied odds remain closely split between an 8–11 billion closing market cap and no IPO by year-end 2027. Key swing factors include the pace of user-growth and margin expansion, any upward revision in analyst estimates, and shifts in IPO-market sentiment that could alter the implied probability distribution across valuation buckets.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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