Anthropic's commanding 94% implied probability reflects its recent releases and benchmark leadership in large language models with advanced style control features, outpacing rivals through demonstrated capabilities in controlled generation and consistency that traders view as decisive for end-of-June evaluation. OpenAI, Google, and others trail significantly due to slower iteration cycles and less competitive results on relevant metrics, though the market leaves limited room for surprises like an unforeseen model update or benchmark shift in the final weeks. With resolution imminent, any credible capability demonstration from competitors could test the consensus, but current positioning indicates traders see few realistic paths for a reversal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di giugno? (Controllo stile attivato)
Quale azienda ha il miglior modello di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di giugno? (Controllo stile attivato)
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$2,139,354 Vol.
$2,139,354 Vol.
30 giu 2026
No
OpenAI
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Mistral
No
Microsoft
No
Amazon
No
ByteDance
No
Anthropic
Sì
Alibaba
No
xAI
No
Moonshot
No
Meituan
No
Meta
No
Baidu
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
OpenAI <1%
Z.ai <1%
$2,139,354 Vol.
$2,139,354 Vol.
30 giu 2026
$90,876 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$158,229 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$460,914 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$240,012 Vol.
No
Mistral
$102,427 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$36,351 Vol.
No
Amazon
$43,905 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$32,930 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$97,612 Vol.
Sì
Alibaba
$190,132 Vol.
No
xAI
$55,583 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$249,504 Vol.
No
Meituan
$318,929 Vol.
No
Meta
$38,736 Vol.
No
Baidu
$23,215 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's commanding 94% implied probability reflects its recent releases and benchmark leadership in large language models with advanced style control features, outpacing rivals through demonstrated capabilities in controlled generation and consistency that traders view as decisive for end-of-June evaluation. OpenAI, Google, and others trail significantly due to slower iteration cycles and less competitive results on relevant metrics, though the market leaves limited room for surprises like an unforeseen model update or benchmark shift in the final weeks. With resolution imminent, any credible capability demonstration from competitors could test the consensus, but current positioning indicates traders see few realistic paths for a reversal.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,139,354Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's commanding 94% implied probability reflects its recent releases and benchmark leadership in large language models with advanced style control features, outpacing rivals through demonstrated capabilities in controlled generation and consistency that traders view as decisive for end-of-June evaluation. OpenAI, Google, and others trail significantly due to slower iteration cycles and less competitive results on relevant metrics, though the market leaves limited room for surprises like an unforeseen model update or benchmark shift in the final weeks. With resolution imminent, any credible capability demonstration from competitors could test the consensus, but current positioning indicates traders see few realistic paths for a reversal.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$2,139,354Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Anthropic's commanding 94% implied probability reflects its recent releases and benchmark leadership in large language models with advanced style control features, outpacing rivals through demonstrated capabilities in controlled generation and consistency that traders view as decisive for end-of-June evaluation. OpenAI, Google, and others trail significantly due to slower iteration cycles and less competitive results on relevant metrics, though the market leaves limited room for surprises like an unforeseen model update or benchmark shift in the final weeks. With resolution imminent, any credible capability demonstration from competitors could test the consensus, but current positioning indicates traders see few realistic paths for a reversal.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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