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Politica·Cultura

Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?

Market icon
Politica·Cultura

Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?

mag 1

giu 1

mag 1

giu 1

1240-1279 24.1%

1200-1239 21.2%

1280-1319 12.6%

1120-1159 10.8%

Polymarket

$8,227,262 Vol.

1240-1279 24.1%

1200-1239 21.2%

1280-1319 12.6%

1120-1159 10.8%

Polymarket

$8,227,262 Vol.

700-719

$89,904 Vol.

<1%

720-739

$139,470 Vol.

<1%

740-759

$98,529 Vol.

<1%

760-779

$93,236 Vol.

<1%

780-799

$60,385 Vol.

<1%

800-839

$73,756 Vol.

<1%

840-879

$88,180 Vol.

<1%

880-919

$160,822 Vol.

1%

920-959

$68,776 Vol.

1%

960-999

$57,508 Vol.

1%

1000-1039

$43,484 Vol.

1%

1040-1079

$92,551 Vol.

1%

1080-1119

$62,582 Vol.

5%

1120-1159

$114,620 Vol.

11%

1160-1199

$277,379 Vol.

11%

1200-1239

$170,703 Vol.

21%

1240-1279

$90,431 Vol.

24%

1280-1319

$172,766 Vol.

13%

1320-1359

$242,615 Vol.

3%

1360-1399

$216,251 Vol.

3%

1400-1439

$523,362 Vol.

1%

1440-1479

$86,622 Vol.

2%

1480-1519

$80,739 Vol.

1%

1520-1559

$90,194 Vol.

1%

1560-1599

$118,787 Vol.

<1%

1600-1679

$106,319 Vol.

<1%

1680-1759

$151,102 Vol.

<1%

1760-1839

$105,293 Vol.

<1%

1840-1919

$158,263 Vol.

<1%

1920-1999

$36,039 Vol.

<1%

2000+

$33,024 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1200-1279 total posts for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, driven by his consistent mid-40s daily pace through the first 18 days—extrapolating to roughly 740 tweets so far per overlapping short-term market trackers like xTracker. The razor-thin gap between 1240-1279 (24.1%) and 1200-1239 (21.2%) reflects high uncertainty from Musk's volatile posting patterns, with recent highs of 78 tweets amid political firestorms (e.g., anti-white racism debates) offset by sub-30 day lulls over weekends. Differentiators include potential surges tied to Tesla or xAI announcements versus quieter stretches during SpaceX focus, as real-money bets hinge on cultural news cycles and viral engagement through month's end.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,227,262
Data di fine
1 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Esito proposto: No

Finestra di contestazione

Finale

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1200-1279 total posts for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, driven by his consistent mid-40s daily pace through the first 18 days—extrapolating to roughly 740 tweets so far per overlapping short-term market trackers like xTracker. The razor-thin gap between 1240-1279 (24.1%) and 1200-1239 (21.2%) reflects high uncertainty from Musk's volatile posting patterns, with recent highs of 78 tweets amid political firestorms (e.g., anti-white racism debates) offset by sub-30 day lulls over weekends. Differentiators include potential surges tied to Tesla or xAI announcements versus quieter stretches during SpaceX focus, as real-money bets hinge on cultural news cycles and viral engagement through month's end.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,227,262
Data di fine
1 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Esito proposto: No

Finestra di contestazione

Finale

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 66+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "1240-1279" a 24%, seguito da "1200-1239" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 24¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 24% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" ha generato $8.2 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 24, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?", esplora i 66+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" è "1240-1279" a 24%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 24% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "1200-1239" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elon Musk # twitta nell'aprile 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.