Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for MrBeast's next video—"Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000," uploaded April 18—achieving 35–40 million day-one YouTube views, confirmed by official metrics showing around 39 million in the first 24 hours. This aligns with his proven formula of high-stakes survival challenges, leveraging a 478 million subscriber base and algorithmic promotion for explosive initial traction, rebounding from the prior "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" video's lower ~24 million day-one haul. Strong positioning stems from real-time view count verification, with upset scenarios now negligible barring rare YouTube recount adjustments or data disputes. Watch for week-one trajectory updates as secondary markets track sustained momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
35–40M 100.0%
<20M <1%
20–25M <1%
25–30M <1%
$825,835 Vol.
$825,835 Vol.
31 mag 2026
<20M
No
20–25M
No
25–30M
No
30–35M
No
35–40M
Yes
40–45M
No
45–50M
No
50M+
No
35–40M 100.0%
<20M <1%
20–25M <1%
25–30M <1%
$825,835 Vol.
$825,835 Vol.
31 mag 2026
<20M
$41,518 Vol.
No
20–25M
$48,753 Vol.
No
25–30M
$99,939 Vol.
No
30–35M
$164,765 Vol.
No
35–40M
$63,928 Vol.
Yes
40–45M
$168,769 Vol.
No
45–50M
$158,860 Vol.
No
50M+
$79,302 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for MrBeast's next video—"Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000," uploaded April 18—achieving 35–40 million day-one YouTube views, confirmed by official metrics showing around 39 million in the first 24 hours. This aligns with his proven formula of high-stakes survival challenges, leveraging a 478 million subscriber base and algorithmic promotion for explosive initial traction, rebounding from the prior "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" video's lower ~24 million day-one haul. Strong positioning stems from real-time view count verification, with upset scenarios now negligible barring rare YouTube recount adjustments or data disputes. Watch for week-one trajectory updates as secondary markets track sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$825,835Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for MrBeast's next video—"Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000," uploaded April 18—achieving 35–40 million day-one YouTube views, confirmed by official metrics showing around 39 million in the first 24 hours. This aligns with his proven formula of high-stakes survival challenges, leveraging a 478 million subscriber base and algorithmic promotion for explosive initial traction, rebounding from the prior "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" video's lower ~24 million day-one haul. Strong positioning stems from real-time view count verification, with upset scenarios now negligible barring rare YouTube recount adjustments or data disputes. Watch for week-one trajectory updates as secondary markets track sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$825,835Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for MrBeast's next video—"Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000," uploaded April 18—achieving 35–40 million day-one YouTube views, confirmed by official metrics showing around 39 million in the first 24 hours. This aligns with his proven formula of high-stakes survival challenges, leveraging a 478 million subscriber base and algorithmic promotion for explosive initial traction, rebounding from the prior "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" video's lower ~24 million day-one haul. Strong positioning stems from real-time view count verification, with upset scenarios now negligible barring rare YouTube recount adjustments or data disputes. Watch for week-one trajectory updates as secondary markets track sustained momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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