Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the entry's jury-bait classical violin-pop fusion, dominant pre-contest betting odds since its UMK national selection win, and a fresh OGAE fan poll victory four days ago. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), fresh off Sing for Greece semifinals buzz, and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") from DMGP tie at 12.6%, gaining from televote-friendly staging impressions in early Vienna rehearsals amid second-run clips released today. With all 35 songs unveiled post-national finals, upcoming semi-finals on May 12 and 14 could spark shifts via jury secrecy and televote volatility in the Wiener Stadthalle final on May 16.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Eurovision 2026
Vincitore Eurovision 2026
Finlandia 43.5%
Danimarca 12.6%
Grecia 12.3%
Australia 5.7%
$139,653,857 Vol.
$139,653,857 Vol.

Finlandia
43%

Danimarca
13%

Grecia
12%

Australia
6%

Francia
5%

Israele
4%

Italia
3%

Romania
2%

Svezia
2%

Malta
2%

Ucraina
1%

Cechia
1%

Cipro
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Croazia
1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lussemburgo
<1%

Moldavia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%
Finlandia 43.5%
Danimarca 12.6%
Grecia 12.3%
Australia 5.7%
$139,653,857 Vol.
$139,653,857 Vol.

Finlandia
43%

Danimarca
13%

Grecia
12%

Australia
6%

Francia
5%

Israele
4%

Italia
3%

Romania
2%

Svezia
2%

Malta
2%

Ucraina
1%

Cechia
1%

Cipro
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Croazia
1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lussemburgo
<1%

Moldavia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the entry's jury-bait classical violin-pop fusion, dominant pre-contest betting odds since its UMK national selection win, and a fresh OGAE fan poll victory four days ago. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), fresh off Sing for Greece semifinals buzz, and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") from DMGP tie at 12.6%, gaining from televote-friendly staging impressions in early Vienna rehearsals amid second-run clips released today. With all 35 songs unveiled post-national finals, upcoming semi-finals on May 12 and 14 could spark shifts via jury secrecy and televote volatility in the Wiener Stadthalle final on May 16.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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