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icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

icon for Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Vincitore Eurovision 2026

Finlandia 43.5%

Danimarca 12.6%

Grecia 12.3%

Australia 5.7%

Polymarket

$139,653,857 Vol.

Finlandia 43.5%

Danimarca 12.6%

Grecia 12.3%

Australia 5.7%

Polymarket

$139,653,857 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$4,252,698 Vol.

43%

icon for Danimarca

Danimarca

$2,141,977 Vol.

13%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$2,834,033 Vol.

12%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,216,557 Vol.

6%

icon for Francia

Francia

$2,742,522 Vol.

5%

icon for Israele

Israele

$2,465,788 Vol.

4%

icon for Italia

Italia

$3,226,614 Vol.

3%

icon for Romania

Romania

$2,318,768 Vol.

2%

icon for Svezia

Svezia

$1,841,628 Vol.

2%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,645,528 Vol.

2%

icon for Ucraina

Ucraina

$2,206,995 Vol.

1%

icon for Cechia

Cechia

$1,719,374 Vol.

1%

icon for Cipro

Cipro

$2,365,000 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$2,533,410 Vol.

1%

icon for Croazia

Croazia

$3,818,361 Vol.

1%

icon for Germania

Germania

$2,967,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norvegia

Norvegia

$4,069,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lussemburgo

Lussemburgo

$3,443,337 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$3,239,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$4,827,220 Vol.

<1%

icon for Svizzera

Svizzera

$5,171,969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$5,904,268 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,010,272 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgio

Belgio

$4,123,826 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$5,894,004 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$6,035,388 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaigian

Azerbaigian

$6,175,034 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$4,532,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$6,035,341 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$5,345,559 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regno Unito

Regno Unito

$3,269,505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lettonia

Lettonia

$5,208,166 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portogallo

Portogallo

$5,293,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,750,968 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$6,029,046 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the entry's jury-bait classical violin-pop fusion, dominant pre-contest betting odds since its UMK national selection win, and a fresh OGAE fan poll victory four days ago. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), fresh off Sing for Greece semifinals buzz, and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") from DMGP tie at 12.6%, gaining from televote-friendly staging impressions in early Vienna rehearsals amid second-run clips released today. With all 35 songs unveiled post-national finals, upcoming semi-finals on May 12 and 14 could spark shifts via jury secrecy and televote volatility in the Wiener Stadthalle final on May 16.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$139,653,857
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the clear frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the entry's jury-bait classical violin-pop fusion, dominant pre-contest betting odds since its UMK national selection win, and a fresh OGAE fan poll victory four days ago. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), fresh off Sing for Greece semifinals buzz, and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") from DMGP tie at 12.6%, gaining from televote-friendly staging impressions in early Vienna rehearsals amid second-run clips released today. With all 35 songs unveiled post-national finals, upcoming semi-finals on May 12 and 14 could spark shifts via jury secrecy and televote volatility in the Wiener Stadthalle final on May 16.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$139,653,857
Data di fine
16 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 35 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Finlandia" a 43%, seguito da "Danimarca" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" ha generato $139.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 6, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore Eurovision 2026", esplora i 35 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" è "Finlandia" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Danimarca" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore Eurovision 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.