Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 80-90 million views bucket at 43% implied probability for MrBeast's next video first-week performance, reflecting his consistent track record of high-stakes challenge videos like the recent "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" saga, which hit around 83 million views amid minor "falling off" chatter, and a record-breaking gaming upload that amassed 16 million views on day one. The 70-80 million range trails at 25.5%, buoyed by patterns where uploads typically surge 30-45 million day one before tapering to 75-88 million weekly, per channel analytics. Fresh momentum from the April 18 "Last to Leave Grocery Store" video's rapid 13-17 million early views reinforces this baseline, though without announced collabs or escalated prizes, 90M+ lingers at 15% amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and competition. Watch for the next upload's thumbnail hype and promotional push as key swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 49%
70-80M 26%
90M+ 21%
60-70M 7%
$28,195 Vol.
$28,195 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
1%
50-60M
3%
60-70M
7%
70-80M
26%
80-90M
43%
90M+
21%
80-90M 49%
70-80M 26%
90M+ 21%
60-70M 7%
$28,195 Vol.
$28,195 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
1%
50-60M
3%
60-70M
7%
70-80M
26%
80-90M
43%
90M+
21%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 80-90 million views bucket at 43% implied probability for MrBeast's next video first-week performance, reflecting his consistent track record of high-stakes challenge videos like the recent "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000" saga, which hit around 83 million views amid minor "falling off" chatter, and a record-breaking gaming upload that amassed 16 million views on day one. The 70-80 million range trails at 25.5%, buoyed by patterns where uploads typically surge 30-45 million day one before tapering to 75-88 million weekly, per channel analytics. Fresh momentum from the April 18 "Last to Leave Grocery Store" video's rapid 13-17 million early views reinforces this baseline, though without announced collabs or escalated prizes, 90M+ lingers at 15% amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and competition. Watch for the next upload's thumbnail hype and promotional push as key swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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