Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third weekend domestic box office falling under $44 million, driven by steep post-opening drops signaling frontloaded performance after its massive $132 million Easter debut and $67 million second frame. Friday's $7.1 million haul—down sharply from prior Fridays—projects a $30 million weekend at No. 1, a 56% decline versus the prior session and well below the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $60 million third outing, amid softer audience retention and competition from Lee Cronin's The Mummy opening to $13 million. Strong word-of-mouth or unexpected family turnout could yield an upset into the $44-52 million range, though historical animated legs and tracking suggest minimal risk before Sunday finals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3° Weekend Box Office
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3° Weekend Box Office
<44 milioni 100.0%
48-52 milioni <1%
>52 mln <1%
44-48 milioni <1%
$143,121 Vol.
$143,121 Vol.
20 apr 2026
<44 milioni
100%
44-48 milioni
<1%
48-52 milioni
<1%
>52 mln
<1%
<44 milioni 100.0%
48-52 milioni <1%
>52 mln <1%
44-48 milioni <1%
$143,121 Vol.
$143,121 Vol.
20 apr 2026
<44 milioni
$10,916 Vol.
100%
44-48 milioni
$7,141 Vol.
<1%
48-52 milioni
$84,657 Vol.
<1%
>52 mln
$40,406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third weekend domestic box office falling under $44 million, driven by steep post-opening drops signaling frontloaded performance after its massive $132 million Easter debut and $67 million second frame. Friday's $7.1 million haul—down sharply from prior Fridays—projects a $30 million weekend at No. 1, a 56% decline versus the prior session and well below the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $60 million third outing, amid softer audience retention and competition from Lee Cronin's The Mummy opening to $13 million. Strong word-of-mouth or unexpected family turnout could yield an upset into the $44-52 million range, though historical animated legs and tracking suggest minimal risk before Sunday finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$143,121Data di fine
20 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third weekend domestic box office falling under $44 million, driven by steep post-opening drops signaling frontloaded performance after its massive $132 million Easter debut and $67 million second frame. Friday's $7.1 million haul—down sharply from prior Fridays—projects a $30 million weekend at No. 1, a 56% decline versus the prior session and well below the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $60 million third outing, amid softer audience retention and competition from Lee Cronin's The Mummy opening to $13 million. Strong word-of-mouth or unexpected family turnout could yield an upset into the $44-52 million range, though historical animated legs and tracking suggest minimal risk before Sunday finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$143,121Data di fine
20 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third weekend domestic box office falling under $44 million, driven by steep post-opening drops signaling frontloaded performance after its massive $132 million Easter debut and $67 million second frame. Friday's $7.1 million haul—down sharply from prior Fridays—projects a $30 million weekend at No. 1, a 56% decline versus the prior session and well below the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $60 million third outing, amid softer audience retention and competition from Lee Cronin's The Mummy opening to $13 million. Strong word-of-mouth or unexpected family turnout could yield an upset into the $44-52 million range, though historical animated legs and tracking suggest minimal risk before Sunday finals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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