California's 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and now seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election following the June 2 primary, where he faces limited Republican opposition including challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent unusual developments. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major endorsements that would alter the outlook. While late-cycle events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, the district's entrenched partisan balance and incumbency protections make such reversals unlikely before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-16
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-16
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
93%
Partito Repubblicano
7%
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$48,949 Vol.
93%
Partito Repubblicano
$27,220 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and now seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election following the June 2 primary, where he faces limited Republican opposition including challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent unusual developments. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major endorsements that would alter the outlook. While late-cycle events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, the district's entrenched partisan balance and incumbency protections make such reversals unlikely before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$76,170Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and now seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election following the June 2 primary, where he faces limited Republican opposition including challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent unusual developments. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major endorsements that would alter the outlook. While late-cycle events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, the district's entrenched partisan balance and incumbency protections make such reversals unlikely before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$76,170Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and now seeks re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election following the June 2 primary, where he faces limited Republican opposition including challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Sundin Soulé. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring the limited path for Republican gains absent unusual developments. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major endorsements that would alter the outlook. While late-cycle events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, the district's entrenched partisan balance and incumbency protections make such reversals unlikely before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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