Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 25%, with close contenders at 115-120 million (18%) and others nearby, reflecting expectations of turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million and 2018's 114 million amid population growth and polarization under President Trump's second term. Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6, 2026) showing Democrats up 44%-42% among registered voters and aggregates indicating +10% among definite voters, signal Democratic enthusiasm that could drive higher participation via anti-incumbent mobilization. The race stays tight due to early-stage uncertainty, varying turnout models (high scenarios near 51% voting-eligible participation vs. low under 40%), and historical midterm volatility. Shifts could emerge from upcoming state primaries, presidential approval trends, economic data, or party registration drives in battlegrounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 22%
125-130m 17%
105-110m 15%
120-125m 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
15%
110-115m
20%
115-120m
22%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
24%
130m+
6%
115-120m 22%
125-130m 17%
105-110m 15%
120-125m 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
5%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
9%
90-95m
$831 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$631 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$431 Vol.
15%
110-115m
$440 Vol.
20%
115-120m
$1,020 Vol.
22%
120-125m
$371 Vol.
14%
125-130m
$1,158 Vol.
24%
130m+
$245 Vol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 25%, with close contenders at 115-120 million (18%) and others nearby, reflecting expectations of turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million and 2018's 114 million amid population growth and polarization under President Trump's second term. Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6, 2026) showing Democrats up 44%-42% among registered voters and aggregates indicating +10% among definite voters, signal Democratic enthusiasm that could drive higher participation via anti-incumbent mobilization. The race stays tight due to early-stage uncertainty, varying turnout models (high scenarios near 51% voting-eligible participation vs. low under 40%), and historical midterm volatility. Shifts could emerge from upcoming state primaries, presidential approval trends, economic data, or party registration drives in battlegrounds.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,132Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 25%, with close contenders at 115-120 million (18%) and others nearby, reflecting expectations of turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million and 2018's 114 million amid population growth and polarization under President Trump's second term. Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6, 2026) showing Democrats up 44%-42% among registered voters and aggregates indicating +10% among definite voters, signal Democratic enthusiasm that could drive higher participation via anti-incumbent mobilization. The race stays tight due to early-stage uncertainty, varying turnout models (high scenarios near 51% voting-eligible participation vs. low under 40%), and historical midterm volatility. Shifts could emerge from upcoming state primaries, presidential approval trends, economic data, or party registration drives in battlegrounds.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,132Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 25%, with close contenders at 115-120 million (18%) and others nearby, reflecting expectations of turnout surpassing 2022's 108 million and 2018's 114 million amid population growth and polarization under President Trump's second term. Recent generic ballot polls, including YouGov/Economist (April 3-6, 2026) showing Democrats up 44%-42% among registered voters and aggregates indicating +10% among definite voters, signal Democratic enthusiasm that could drive higher participation via anti-incumbent mobilization. The race stays tight due to early-stage uncertainty, varying turnout models (high scenarios near 51% voting-eligible participation vs. low under 40%), and historical midterm volatility. Shifts could emerge from upcoming state primaries, presidential approval trends, economic data, or party registration drives in battlegrounds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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