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Pemilu Inggris prediksi & peluang

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UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$771K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

14

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

25%

Burnham 3-6%

$13.4K Vol.

$57.3K Liq.

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

68%

Andy Burnham

$20.3K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

65%

Robert Kenyon

$2.7K Vol.

$63.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

66%

June 30

$74.2K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

48%

35-39

$501 Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

51%

Labour

$64 Vol.

$410 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

10%

$35.7K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

70%

Labour Party 10-15%

$19.3K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

41%

New Zealand First Party

$1.8K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

48%

National Party

$424 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

75%

Andy Burnham

$1M Vol.

$703K Liq.

33

Ends in 21 days

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

48%

76-78%

$171 Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

50%

Up

$263 Vol.

$112 Liq.

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

41%

National 5-10%

$0 Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

71%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$151K today

$245K Liq.

1,728

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

62%

Labour Party

$3.9K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

40%

<25

$215 Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

37%

53-56%

$574 Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

31%

$4.0K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapat keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu dengan trading pada hal-hal terkait berita terkini, politik, olahraga, pemilu, crypto, keuangan, teknologi, budaya, termasuk topik seperti Pemilu Inggris.

Polymarket saat ini memiliki 101 market aktif untuk Pemilu Inggris yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "UK election called by...?". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $32.1M volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "UK Recession in 2026?". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "Starmer out by...?," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "Starmer out by...?," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 71% untuk December 31. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Pemilu Inggris yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.