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Dunia·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Dunia·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese 42%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 16%

Jim Chalmers 2%

Polymarket

$10,971 Vol.

Anthony Albanese 42%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 16%

Jim Chalmers 2%

Polymarket

$10,971 Vol.

icon for Anthony Albanese

Anthony Albanese

$1,093 Vol.

42%

icon for Angus Taylor

Angus Taylor

$2,006 Vol.

20%

icon for Pauline Hanson

Pauline Hanson

$6,977 Vol.

16%

icon for Jim Chalmers

Jim Chalmers

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Robbie Katter

Robbie Katter

$387 Vol.

1%

icon for Larissa Waters

Larissa Waters

$487 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling reveals a highly fragmented Australian electorate more than two years before the next federal election, with One Nation surging to around 29-30% primary support while Labor and the Liberal-National Coalition trail significantly. This volatility, combined with the long timeline until the vote must be held by May 2028, sustains broad uncertainty over which party or coalition will form government and who will lead it. Anthony Albanese remains Labor leader and incumbent Prime Minister, yet internal pressures and preference flows could open paths for alternatives including Coalition figures or minor-party influencers such as Pauline Hanson. The implied probability spread across numerous candidates reflects trader assessment of multiple plausible scenarios, including potential leadership transitions, crossbench influence in a hung parliament, or further realignment driven by cost-of-living concerns and regional voting shifts. Scheduled state elections and ongoing parliamentary sessions may provide early signals capable of separating the field.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,971
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling reveals a highly fragmented Australian electorate more than two years before the next federal election, with One Nation surging to around 29-30% primary support while Labor and the Liberal-National Coalition trail significantly. This volatility, combined with the long timeline until the vote must be held by May 2028, sustains broad uncertainty over which party or coalition will form government and who will lead it. Anthony Albanese remains Labor leader and incumbent Prime Minister, yet internal pressures and preference flows could open paths for alternatives including Coalition figures or minor-party influencers such as Pauline Hanson. The implied probability spread across numerous candidates reflects trader assessment of multiple plausible scenarios, including potential leadership transitions, crossbench influence in a hung parliament, or further realignment driven by cost-of-living concerns and regional voting shifts. Scheduled state elections and ongoing parliamentary sessions may provide early signals capable of separating the field.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,971
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Anthony Albanese" di 42%, diikuti oleh "Angus Taylor" di 20%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 42¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" telah menghasilkan $11K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 10, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" adalah "Anthony Albanese" di 42%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Angus Taylor" di 20%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.