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Politik·Brasil

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

icon for Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello 88%

João Rodrigues 6.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 4.8%

Afrânio Boppré <1%

Polymarket

$88,888 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 88%

João Rodrigues 6.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 4.8%

Afrânio Boppré <1%

Polymarket

$88,888 Vol.

Jorginho Mello

$7,248 Vol.

88%

João Rodrigues

$1,381 Vol.

7%

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$14,285 Vol.

5%

Afrânio Boppré

$907 Vol.

<1%

Marcos Vieira

$923 Vol.

<1%

Décio Lima

$62,571 Vol.

<1%

Gelson Merisio

$994 Vol.

<1%

Adriano Silva

$579 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$88,888
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$88,888
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jorginho Mello" di 88%, diikuti oleh "João Rodrigues" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $88.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 9, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" adalah "Jorginho Mello" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "João Rodrigues" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.