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PolitikΒ·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Market icon
PolitikΒ·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$202,532 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$202,532 Vol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$0 Vol.

56%

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

47%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

47%

Daniel Penny

$11 Vol.

36%

Ryan Salame

$15,172 Vol.

27%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,207 Vol.

26%

Young Thug

$4,105 Vol.

28%

Roger Ver

$0 Vol.

17%

Steve Bannon

$6,153 Vol.

24%

Julian Assange

$1,506 Vol.

10%

Edward Snowden

$1,755 Vol.

14%

Joe Exotic

$330 Vol.

14%

Himself

$2,458 Vol.

10%

Eric Adams

$81 Vol.

13%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,001 Vol.

12%

Martin Shkreli

$18,454 Vol.

10%

Nicolas Maduro

$6,023 Vol.

10%

Bob Menendez

$0 Vol.

25%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$9,661 Vol.

7%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$35,094 Vol.

7%

Do Kwon

$15,890 Vol.

6%

Diddy

$6,554 Vol.

6%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

5%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Vol.

5%

Elon Musk

$49,102 Vol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$17,928 Vol.

5%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Stefan Brodie at 63% implied probability for receiving a presidential pardon before 2027, reflecting his profile as a major Trump donor and co-founder of Purolite convicted of violating Cuba sanctions, alongside his brother Donald at 61% and ally Matt Gaetz at 59%. This positioning stems from Trump's second-term clemency patternβ€”over 1,600 Jan. 6 defendants pardoned on inauguration day 2025, plus allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, and dozens of white-collar offenders including fraudsters in early 2026 batches. Recent April 2026 reports of Trump promising mass pardons for top aides underscore loyalty and donor ties as key drivers, with Alice Johnson overseeing as pardon czar. No fixed timeline exists, but new DOJ probes or donor events could prompt announcements amid expansive Article II pardon authority.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$202,532
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Stefan Brodie at 63% implied probability for receiving a presidential pardon before 2027, reflecting his profile as a major Trump donor and co-founder of Purolite convicted of violating Cuba sanctions, alongside his brother Donald at 61% and ally Matt Gaetz at 59%. This positioning stems from Trump's second-term clemency patternβ€”over 1,600 Jan. 6 defendants pardoned on inauguration day 2025, plus allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, and dozens of white-collar offenders including fraudsters in early 2026 batches. Recent April 2026 reports of Trump promising mass pardons for top aides underscore loyalty and donor ties as key drivers, with Alice Johnson overseeing as pardon czar. No fixed timeline exists, but new DOJ probes or donor events could prompt announcements amid expansive Article II pardon authority.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$202,532
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 27 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Stefan Brodie" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Matt Gaetz" di 47%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $202.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?," jelajahi 27 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" adalah "Stefan Brodie" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Matt Gaetz" di 47%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.