A partial government shutdown affecting only the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since February 14 amid stalled negotiations over ICE and CBP reforms following January agent shootings, has entered its 71st day with no bipartisan appropriations deal. House Republicans recently rejected the Senate's narrow funding bill for most DHS components like TSA and FEMA, insisting on fuller immigration enforcement resources, while emergency payroll funds from prior acts deplete in early May per Secretary Mullin's warnings. Trader consensus tilts to May 18-24 (32%) as the likely end, anticipating intensified pressure post-fund exhaustion to spur reconciliation or a continuing resolution, differentiating it from nearer-term bins lacking vote momentum; a House floor vote or reform compromise could consolidate odds there.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhen will the DHS shutdown end?
When will the DHS shutdown end?
May 18-24 32%
April 27-May 3 16.5%
After July 31 13%
May 11-17 10.9%
$10,271 Vol.
$10,271 Vol.
April 20-26
<1%
April 27-May 3
16%
May 4-10
2%
May 11-17
11%
May 18-24
32%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
3%
June 15-21
1%
June 22-28
3%
June 29-July 5
2%
July 6-12
2%
July 13-19
3%
July 20-26
3%
July 27-31
4%
After July 31
13%
May 18-24 32%
April 27-May 3 16.5%
After July 31 13%
May 11-17 10.9%
$10,271 Vol.
$10,271 Vol.
April 20-26
<1%
April 27-May 3
16%
May 4-10
2%
May 11-17
11%
May 18-24
32%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
3%
June 15-21
1%
June 22-28
3%
June 29-July 5
2%
July 6-12
2%
July 13-19
3%
July 20-26
3%
July 27-31
4%
After July 31
13%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A partial government shutdown affecting only the Department of Homeland Security, ongoing since February 14 amid stalled negotiations over ICE and CBP reforms following January agent shootings, has entered its 71st day with no bipartisan appropriations deal. House Republicans recently rejected the Senate's narrow funding bill for most DHS components like TSA and FEMA, insisting on fuller immigration enforcement resources, while emergency payroll funds from prior acts deplete in early May per Secretary Mullin's warnings. Trader consensus tilts to May 18-24 (32%) as the likely end, anticipating intensified pressure post-fund exhaustion to spur reconciliation or a continuing resolution, differentiating it from nearer-term bins lacking vote momentum; a House floor vote or reform compromise could consolidate odds there.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan