Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, establishing the statutory endpoint for his leadership of the central bank. Kevin Warsh received Senate confirmation on May 13, 2026, to succeed him, clearing the path for an orderly transition. Powell has publicly stated he will relinquish the chair role on that date while remaining on the Board of Governors until at least January 2028, pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters renovations. No early departure or resignation has occurred despite prior public tensions with the administration. Trader assessments of departure timing therefore center on this fixed calendar milestone, the timing of Warsh’s confirmation, and any last-minute procedural developments within the narrow window surrounding May 15.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$355,576 Vol.
May 15
No
May 16
No
June 30
Yes
May 31
Yes
$355,576 Vol.
May 15
No
May 16
No
June 30
Yes
May 31
Yes
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, establishing the statutory endpoint for his leadership of the central bank. Kevin Warsh received Senate confirmation on May 13, 2026, to succeed him, clearing the path for an orderly transition. Powell has publicly stated he will relinquish the chair role on that date while remaining on the Board of Governors until at least January 2028, pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters renovations. No early departure or resignation has occurred despite prior public tensions with the administration. Trader assessments of departure timing therefore center on this fixed calendar milestone, the timing of Warsh’s confirmation, and any last-minute procedural developments within the narrow window surrounding May 15.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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