President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTrump mengumumkan berakhirnya operasi militer terhadap Iran oleh ...?
Trump mengumumkan berakhirnya operasi militer terhadap Iran oleh ...?
$44,722,907 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
1 Maret
Tidak
2 Maret
Tidak
7 Maret
Tidak
15 Maret
Tidak
31 Maret
Tidak
7 April
Tidak
15 April
Tidak
21 April
Tidak
April 24
No
30 April
Tidak
31 Mei
Ya
30 Juni
Ya
$44,722,907 Vol.
1 Maret
$62,834 Vol.
Tidak
2 Maret
$128,313 Vol.
Tidak
7 Maret
$0 Vol.
Tidak
15 Maret
$0 Vol.
Tidak
31 Maret
$5,173,902 Vol.
Tidak
7 April
$3,147,132 Vol.
Tidak
15 April
$9,488,906 Vol.
Tidak
21 April
$4,913,838 Vol.
Tidak
April 24
$924,036 Vol.
No
30 April
$13,050,669 Vol.
Tidak
31 Mei
$4,090,017 Vol.
Ya
30 Juni
$3,743,260 Vol.
Ya
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Volume
$44,722,907Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,722,907Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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