The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since 1992, with the Nevada National Security Site maintaining readiness via subcritical experiments but no detonations. President Trump's October 2025 announcement to resume testing—citing parity with Russia and China's advancements—sparked congressional opposition, including the No Nuclear Testing Act and Nevada resolutions blocking funds, alongside Energy Department clarifications that no explosions are planned. As of April 2026, no tests have occurred, marking over 34 years without, per CTBTO milestones. Traders watch DOE/NNSA budgets, Senate appropriations, and geopolitical tensions for shifts, though historical norms and CTBT pressures favor continuation of the pause.
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$639,462 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
30 Juni 2026
1%
30 September 2026
8%
31 Desember 2026
13%
$639,462 Vol.
30 Juni 2026
$23,204 Vol.
1%
30 September 2026
$2,149 Vol.
8%
31 Desember 2026
$3,890 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since 1992, with the Nevada National Security Site maintaining readiness via subcritical experiments but no detonations. President Trump's October 2025 announcement to resume testing—citing parity with Russia and China's advancements—sparked congressional opposition, including the No Nuclear Testing Act and Nevada resolutions blocking funds, alongside Energy Department clarifications that no explosions are planned. As of April 2026, no tests have occurred, marking over 34 years without, per CTBTO milestones. Traders watch DOE/NNSA budgets, Senate appropriations, and geopolitical tensions for shifts, though historical norms and CTBT pressures favor continuation of the pause.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$639,462Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since 1992, with the Nevada National Security Site maintaining readiness via subcritical experiments but no detonations. President Trump's October 2025 announcement to resume testing—citing parity with Russia and China's advancements—sparked congressional opposition, including the No Nuclear Testing Act and Nevada resolutions blocking funds, alongside Energy Department clarifications that no explosions are planned. As of April 2026, no tests have occurred, marking over 34 years without, per CTBTO milestones. Traders watch DOE/NNSA budgets, Senate appropriations, and geopolitical tensions for shifts, though historical norms and CTBT pressures favor continuation of the pause.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$639,462Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has upheld a voluntary moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since 1992, with the Nevada National Security Site maintaining readiness via subcritical experiments but no detonations. President Trump's October 2025 announcement to resume testing—citing parity with Russia and China's advancements—sparked congressional opposition, including the No Nuclear Testing Act and Nevada resolutions blocking funds, alongside Energy Department clarifications that no explosions are planned. As of April 2026, no tests have occurred, marking over 34 years without, per CTBTO milestones. Traders watch DOE/NNSA budgets, Senate appropriations, and geopolitical tensions for shifts, though historical norms and CTBT pressures favor continuation of the pause.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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