Tensions between the United States and Cuba have risen sharply in 2026 following the U.S. military operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro earlier in the year. The Trump administration has expanded sanctions, restricted oil shipments, and reinstated Cuba on the state sponsor of terrorism list, while President Trump has publicly referred to the island as a potential target. On May 20, federal prosecutors indicted former Cuban leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 plane incident, and U.S. naval assets have been repositioned in the Caribbean. Cuban officials report preparing defenses and describe recent U.S. reconnaissance flights as provocative, though Washington maintains it is not pursuing imminent kinetic action and continues limited diplomatic and military-to-military contacts. These developments, set against Cuba’s ongoing economic and energy crisis, shape trader assessments of near-term U.S. military options.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTindakan militer AS terhadap Kuba oleh...?
Tindakan militer AS terhadap Kuba oleh...?
$5,214,437 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 Desember
52%
$5,214,437 Vol.
31 Desember
$3,036,323 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the United States and Cuba have risen sharply in 2026 following the U.S. military operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro earlier in the year. The Trump administration has expanded sanctions, restricted oil shipments, and reinstated Cuba on the state sponsor of terrorism list, while President Trump has publicly referred to the island as a potential target. On May 20, federal prosecutors indicted former Cuban leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 plane incident, and U.S. naval assets have been repositioned in the Caribbean. Cuban officials report preparing defenses and describe recent U.S. reconnaissance flights as provocative, though Washington maintains it is not pursuing imminent kinetic action and continues limited diplomatic and military-to-military contacts. These developments, set against Cuba’s ongoing economic and energy crisis, shape trader assessments of near-term U.S. military options.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$5,214,437Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the United States and Cuba have risen sharply in 2026 following the U.S. military operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro earlier in the year. The Trump administration has expanded sanctions, restricted oil shipments, and reinstated Cuba on the state sponsor of terrorism list, while President Trump has publicly referred to the island as a potential target. On May 20, federal prosecutors indicted former Cuban leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 plane incident, and U.S. naval assets have been repositioned in the Caribbean. Cuban officials report preparing defenses and describe recent U.S. reconnaissance flights as provocative, though Washington maintains it is not pursuing imminent kinetic action and continues limited diplomatic and military-to-military contacts. These developments, set against Cuba’s ongoing economic and energy crisis, shape trader assessments of near-term U.S. military options.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$5,214,437Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between the United States and Cuba have risen sharply in 2026 following the U.S. military operation that removed Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro earlier in the year. The Trump administration has expanded sanctions, restricted oil shipments, and reinstated Cuba on the state sponsor of terrorism list, while President Trump has publicly referred to the island as a potential target. On May 20, federal prosecutors indicted former Cuban leader Raúl Castro over a 1996 plane incident, and U.S. naval assets have been repositioned in the Caribbean. Cuban officials report preparing defenses and describe recent U.S. reconnaissance flights as provocative, though Washington maintains it is not pursuing imminent kinetic action and continues limited diplomatic and military-to-military contacts. These developments, set against Cuba’s ongoing economic and energy crisis, shape trader assessments of near-term U.S. military options.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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