Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal seeks re-election in California's 24th congressional district, where recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has reinforced the area's Democratic partisan lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Carbajal faces limited primary opposition from fellow Democrat Sarah Bacon and minor-party candidates, while the sole Republican, Bob Smith, trails significantly in fundraising and voter registration. This structural advantage and the incumbent's established record drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance in the top-two primary or a major late-cycle development altering the district's composition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-24 House Election Winner
CA-24 House Election Winner
$17,916 Vol.
$17,916 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,916 Vol.
$17,916 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,034 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,881 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal seeks re-election in California's 24th congressional district, where recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has reinforced the area's Democratic partisan lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Carbajal faces limited primary opposition from fellow Democrat Sarah Bacon and minor-party candidates, while the sole Republican, Bob Smith, trails significantly in fundraising and voter registration. This structural advantage and the incumbent's established record drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance in the top-two primary or a major late-cycle development altering the district's composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$17,916Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal seeks re-election in California's 24th congressional district, where recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has reinforced the area's Democratic partisan lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Carbajal faces limited primary opposition from fellow Democrat Sarah Bacon and minor-party candidates, while the sole Republican, Bob Smith, trails significantly in fundraising and voter registration. This structural advantage and the incumbent's established record drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance in the top-two primary or a major late-cycle development altering the district's composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,916Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal seeks re-election in California's 24th congressional district, where recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has reinforced the area's Democratic partisan lean. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Carbajal faces limited primary opposition from fellow Democrat Sarah Bacon and minor-party candidates, while the sole Republican, Bob Smith, trails significantly in fundraising and voter registration. This structural advantage and the incumbent's established record drive trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. An upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance in the top-two primary or a major late-cycle development altering the district's composition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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